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Paul Garry

SUN LAKES, AZ
4.0C year-end 2025
80 matches · 37W–43L · seasons 20192026
Bump probability
3.54.04.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.44
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 6 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
76%
down to 3.5
24%
stay 4.0
0%
up to 4.5
Projected to December: 50% down · 50% stay · 0% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.50. Higher than today’s 3.44 because players this far below their band have historically finished nearer the middle of it.

A 4.0 runs from 3.51 to 4.00. This rating sits in the bottom of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Paul has been 4.0 for all 5 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the bottom of the band to the middle.

3.54.020192020202220242025

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history. The smaller, faded points — 2020 — rest on fewer than 5 matches, where the estimate is mostly the level the player was entered at rather than anything they did on court. Read the shape, not the value.

How you rank at your level
At 8.0, Paul has gone from the 2nd to the 58th percentile of players at that level, 2024 to 2025.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level4 levels played
4.0
35.3%
6W–11L · 43.4% of games
8.0
35.5%
11W–20L · 46.7% of games
7.0mixed
3W–0L
not enough matches yet
8.0mixed
71.4%
10W–4L · 61.8% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history80 matches
L
2026-06-27 · #2 Doubles · with Hector M Salomon
0.017below expectation — took 28% of games against 40% expected
7-5, 6-0
L
2026-06-27 · #3 Doubles · with Jonathan Caplan
+0.020about as expected — took 38% of games against 34% expected
7-5, 6-3
W
2025-10-04 · #1 Doubles · 8.0 · with Steve Fogg
+0.022better than expected — took 60% of games against 49% expected
6-4, 6-4
L
2025-09-28 · #1 Doubles · 8.0 · with Steve Fogg
0.027below expectation — took 45% of games against 56% expected
6-3, 5-7, 1-0
L
2025-09-22 · #3 Doubles · with Sandy Garry
0.040below expectation — took 29% of games against 50% expected
6-4, 6-1
L
2025-09-21 · #2 Doubles · with Sandy Garry
+0.003about as expected — took 55% of games against 51% expected
7-6, 2-6, 1-0
L
Larry Floyd / Rise Hawleychamps
2025-09-21 · #2 Doubles · with Sandy Garry
0.039below expectation — took 33% of games against 53% expected
6-2, 6-4
L
2025-09-20 · #1 Doubles · with Sandy Garry
0.050below expectation — took 33% of games against 57% expected
6-2, 6-4
L
2025-09-19 · #1 Doubles · 8.0 · with Steve Fogg
0.051below expectation — took 33% of games against 57% expected
6-4, 6-2
W
2025-09-13 · #3 Doubles · 8.0 · with Steve Fogg
+0.027better than expected — took 54% of games against 43% expected
6-4, 6-7, 1-0
W
2025-06-21 · #1 Doubles · with Steve Fogg
+0.054better than expected — took 80% of games against 51% expected
6-1, 6-2
W
Garrett Peard / Jerry Dietrickchamps
2025-06-21 · #1 Doubles · with Steve Fogg
+0.019better than expected — took 80% of games against 64% expected
6-1, 6-2
What an account addsprivate to you

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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.