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Jay Copan

Raleigh, NC
3.0C year-end 2025
163 matches · 100W–63L · seasons 20192026
Bump probability
2.53.03.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.01
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 7 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 2.5
44%
stay 3.0
56%
up to 3.5
Projected to December: 0% down · 82% stay · 18% up, from a year-end estimate of 2.93. Lower than today’s 3.01 because form regresses — players this far above their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.0 runs from 2.51 to 3.00. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Teams86 teams · 2009–2026
Ja.Copan65C
2026 Capital Combo 65 & Over · 6.5 Men
2026
Ja.Copan55A
2026 Capital Adult 55 & Over · 3.0 Men
2026
Ja.Copan65A
2026 Capital Adult 65 & Over · 3.0 Men
2026
Ch.Evans55C
2025 Capital Combo 55 & Over · 6.5 Men
2025
Hold
2025 Ctrl Adult 65 & Over · Hold
2025
Ja.Copan65A
2025 Capital Adult 65 & Over · 3.0 Men
2025
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Jay has played at 3.5, 3.0 across 8 seasons — 0 moves up and 1 down.

2.53.03.520192020202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history. The smaller, faded points — 2020 — rest on fewer than 5 matches, where the estimate is mostly the level the player was entered at rather than anything they did on court. Read the shape, not the value.

How you rank at your level
At 3.0, Jay has gone from the 63rd to the 84th percentile of players at that level, 2019 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level5 levels played
3.0
59.6%
31W–21L · 54.7% of games
3.5
41.2%
7W–10L · 43.5% of games
4.0
0W–1L
not enough matches yet
6.5
74.1%
20W–7L · 63.9% of games
7.5
1W–1L
not enough matches yet

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history163 matches
W
Mike Kempel / David Nadenchamps
2026-05-16 · Ja.Copan55A · #3 Doubles · with Jay Gallagher
+0.036better than expected — took 67% of games against 49% expected
6-2, 6-4
L
Vance Dunn / Wm David Hickschamps
2026-05-14 · Ja.Copan55A · #3 Doubles · with Jay Gallagher
+0.012better than expected — took 53% of games against 46% expected
6-4, 2-6, 1-0
L
Jason Grieco / AP Blake
2026-04-20 · Ja.Copan55A · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Jeffrey Miller
0.061below expectation — took 33% of games against 60% expected
6-4, 6-2
W
Greg Howes / Mike Swanson
2026-04-15 · Ja.Copan65A · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with Jay Gallagher
0.006about as expected — took 65% of games against 63% expected
6-0, 6-7, 1-0
W
Philip Apostolico / Ed Stempien
2026-04-02 · Ja.Copan55A · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Jeffrey Miller
+0.039better than expected — took 86% of games against 61% expected
6-0, 6-2
W
Scott Thurston / BILLY WILLIAMS
2026-03-30 · Ja.Copan55A · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Jeffrey Miller
+0.006better than expected — took 67% of games against 61% expected
6-3, 6-3
W
Paul Wilson / Mark Zorko
2026-03-25 · Ja.Copan65A · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Chris Evans
+0.004about as expected — took 62% of games against 58% expected
7-5, 6-3
L
Alan Hamer / Anthony Hydechamps
2025-11-08 · Ja.Copan55A · #1 Doubles · with Rick Smith
0.050below expectation — took 29% of games against 54% expected
6-1, 6-4
W
Jeffrey Miller / John Hulicki
2025-10-15 · Ch.Evans55C · #1 Doubles · 6.5 · with David Testa
0.002about as expected — took 57% of games against 57% expected
6-7, 6-3, 1-0
L
Todd Blevins / Dan Rea
2025-09-17 · Ch.Evans55C · #3 Doubles · 6.5 · with Brett Woodson
0.027below expectation — took 43% of games against 55% expected
7-6, 6-4
W
Peter Flack / Mark Zorko
2025-09-15 · Ja.Copan65C · #2 Doubles · 6.5 · with Tracy Behar
0.002about as expected — took 60% of games against 59% expected
2-6, 6-0, 1-0
W
Pete Prodan / Greg Howes
2025-08-25 · Ja.Copan65C · #3 Doubles · 6.5 · with Rick Smith
0.002about as expected — took 58% of games against 58% expected
4-6, 6-2, 1-0
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