← Search

Carsten Lau

North Ogden, UT
3.0C year-end 2025
101 matches · 45W–56L · seasons 2020–2026
Bump probability
2.53.03.5lowhigh
Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely.
i
The dashed lines are the edges of your band. The three shaded areas are exactly the three percentages below — area here is the chance of one outcome for you, not a count of players.
2.86
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 33 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 2.5
96%
stay 3.0
4%
up to 3.5
Projected to December: 0% down · 99% stay · 1% up, from a year-end estimate of 2.82. Lower than today’s 2.86 because form regresses — players this far into their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.0 runs from 2.51 to 3.00. This rating sits in the upper half of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure.
i
scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model. USTA publishes year-end ratings in December, which is when this gets graded against what actually happened.
Where you rank
UT · 3.0
113 of 164
By our estimated rating, not the published level.
i
Carsten is ranked against players at the same level in the same place. The published level is identical for everyone in a band, so it cannot separate them — our estimate can. Groups smaller than five are not ranked at all, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Carsten has been a steady 3.0 across all 4 seasons on record.

2.53.02023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.0, Carsten has gone from the 41st to the 60th percentile of players at that level, 2024 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level6 levels played
3.0
48.3%
29W–31L · 52.3% of games
3.5
7.7%
1W–12L · 31.6% of games
6.0
50%
2W–2L · 50.6% of games
5.5mixed
100%
5W–0L · 73.8% of games
6.0mixed
40%
6W–9L · 50.8% of games
6.5mixed
1W–1L
not enough matches yet

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history101 matches
W
Tate Olaveson / Christina Jonesmixed
2026-08-03 · #3 Doubles · 5.5 · with Stephanie Coleman
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
6-1, 6-1
W
Mark Shettell / Charlie Owen
2026-07-22 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Alfred Balch
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-2, 6-4
W
Alfred Balch / Reed Reinhold
2026-07-16 · #1 Doubles · 6.0 · with Michael Keough
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-3, 3-6, 1-0
L
Christopher Foster / Doug Bisig
2026-07-15 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Kirk Amidan
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-4, 6-4
L
Ric Reed / Thad Smith
2026-07-11 · #2 Doubles · 6.0 · with Jeff Beckstead
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
7-5, 6-4
W
Travis Henderson / Kiera Hendersonmixed
2026-07-10 · #3 Doubles · 5.5 · with Kayla Richardson
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
6-1, 4-6, 1-0
L
Nathan Mortensen / Oscar Alvarez
2026-07-08 · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with Kirk Amidan
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
3-6, 6-4, 1-0
W
Charles St Jeor / Endhi Visser
2026-07-01 · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with Frederick Partey
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-0, 6-2
L
Craig Chytraus / Bradley Bolster
2026-06-27 · #2 Doubles · 6.0 · with Michael Keough
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
7-6, 6-3
L
Hiram Molloy / Chip Thorpe
2026-06-24 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Kirk Amidan
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-1, 6-3
W
Timothy Jeffryes / David Leta
2026-06-20 · #2 Doubles · 6.0 · with Michael Keough
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-1, 6-3
L
Mark Shettell
2026-06-17 · #1 Singles · 3.0
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-3, 6-4
What an account addsprivate to you

Signing in lets you point an account at your own record and keep things alongside it: notes on individual matches, your racquet and string setup, restring reminders, friendly matches that never reach TennisLink, and a diary of what you changed and what happened after.

None of it is visible to anyone else. Not to other players, not on your public page, not in search. Every private table is scoped to your account at the database level, so it is enforced rather than promised. The public page you are looking at is built from USTA match results and nothing else.

Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.