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Teresa Bear

Carlsbad, CA
4.0C year-end 2025
129 matches · 85W–44L · seasons 2019–2026
Bump probability
3.54.04.5lowhigh
Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely.
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The dashed lines are the edges of your band. The three shaded areas are exactly the three percentages below — area here is the chance of one outcome for you, not a count of players.
3.51
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 11 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
47%
down to 3.5
53%
stay 4.0
0%
up to 4.5
Projected to December: 28% down · 72% stay · 0% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.55. Higher than today’s 3.51 because players this far below their band have historically finished nearer the middle of it.

A 4.0 runs from 3.51 to 4.00. This rating sits in the bottom of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure.
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scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model. USTA publishes year-end ratings in December, which is when this gets graded against what actually happened.
Where you rank
Carlsbad · 4.0
14 of 19
CA · 4.0
248 of 259
By our estimated rating, not the published level.
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Teresa is ranked against players at the same level in the same place. The published level is identical for everyone in a band, so it cannot separate them — our estimate can. Groups smaller than five are not ranked at all, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Teresa has played at 3.5, 4.0 across 6 seasons — 1 move up and 0 down.

3.03.54.0201920222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 4.0, Teresa has gone from the 92nd to the 4th percentile of players at that level, 2019 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level7 levels played
3.5
100%
26W–0L · 75.7% of games
4.0
45%
27W–33L · 47.1% of games
4.5
60%
3W–2L · 58.1% of games
8.0
60%
6W–4L · 51.8% of games
0.0mixed
100%
5W–0L · 70.1% of games
8.0mixed
90%
9W–1L · 73.4% of games
9.0mixed
25%
1W–3L · 48.9% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history129 matches
W
Connie Balen / Trish Watson
2026-07-29 · #1 Doubles · 8.0 · with Lori Roth
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
4-6, 6-0, 1-0
L
Jill Kenny / Jennifer Graber
2026-07-22 · #2 Doubles · 8.0 · with Jan Rowland
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
7-5, 6-4
W
Michelle Hansen / Amanda Barnard
2026-07-20 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Lori Roth
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
2-6, 6-4, 1-0
L
2026-07-13 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Lori Roth
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-3, 6-1
L
Lisa Erickson / Christie Jackson
2026-06-24 · #1 Doubles · 8.0 · with Lori Roth
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-1, 6-1
L
Yoon Choi / Anne Reese
2026-06-22 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Lori Roth
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-3, 6-7, 1-0
W
2026-06-17 · #1 Doubles · 8.0 · with Lori Merino
+0.028better than expected — took 62% of games against 48% expected
7-5, 6-3
L
2026-05-15 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Jan Rowland
−0.013below expectation — took 14% of games against 31% expected
6-1, 6-1
W
Judy Rockland / Patricia Howell
2026-04-24 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Jan Rowland
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-4, 2-6, 1-0
L
2026-04-17 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Jan Rowland
−0.057below expectation — took 20% of games against 50% expected
6-3, 6-0
L
Clare Lemon / Melissa Mead
2026-04-03 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Jan Rowland
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
7-6, 6-0
W
2025-07-30 · #3 Doubles · 8.0 · with Jan Rowland
−0.000about as expected — took 54% of games against 54% expected
6-7, 7-5, 1-0
What an account addsprivate to you

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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.