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Kelsey Nosler

Fort Collins, CO
4.0C year-end 2025
147 matches · 94W–53L · seasons 2019–2026
Bump probability
3.54.04.5lowhigh
Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely.
i
The dashed lines are the edges of your band. The three shaded areas are exactly the three percentages below — area here is the chance of one outcome for you, not a count of players.
3.51
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 14 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
45%
down to 3.5
55%
stay 4.0
0%
up to 4.5
Projected to December: 27% down · 73% stay · 0% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.55. Higher than today’s 3.51 because players this far below their band have historically finished nearer the middle of it.

A 4.0 runs from 3.51 to 4.00. This rating sits in the bottom of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure.
i
scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model. USTA publishes year-end ratings in December, which is when this gets graded against what actually happened.
Where you rank
Fort Collins · 4.0
27 of 31
CO · 4.0
65 of 70
By our estimated rating, not the published level.
i
Kelsey is ranked against players at the same level in the same place. The published level is identical for everyone in a band, so it cannot separate them — our estimate can. Groups smaller than five are not ranked at all, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Kelsey has played at 3.5, 4.0 across 7 seasons — 1 move up and 0 down.

3.03.54.02019202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 4.0, Kelsey has gone from the 67th to the 19th percentile of players at that level, 2021 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level4 levels played
3.5
73.8%
48W–17L · 57.4% of games
4.0
47.4%
18W–20L · 47% of games
4.5
83.3%
10W–2L · 59% of games
8.0mixed
3W–0L
not enough matches yet

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history147 matches
L
Jill Hartman / Kim Phillips
2026-07-23 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Hailey Swanbom
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-0, 6-1
L
2026-07-20 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Aileen VanMeveren
−0.052below expectation — took 20% of games against 48% expected
6-2, 6-1
L
Reina Clouse / Alana Tutt
2026-07-17 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Hailey Swanbom
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-7, 7-5, 1-0
W
2026-07-16 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Amy Anderson
+0.070better than expected — took 57% of games against 32% expected
6-4, 7-6
W
Mia Sawaya / Amy Clemente
2026-07-10 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Sara Chan
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
7-6, 6-3
W
2026-07-06 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Julia Tynan
+0.049better than expected — took 86% of games against 58% expected
6-0, 6-2
L
2026-07-02 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Sharon Sturges
−0.031below expectation — took 33% of games against 49% expected
6-4, 6-2
W
Amy Clemente / Wendy Schaffer
2026-06-18 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Julia Tynan
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
4-6, 6-3, 1-0
L
Cheryl Johnson / Dodi Campbell
2026-06-08 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Nancy Kepner
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-0, 6-2
L
June Ellen Feil / Jill Brooks
2026-06-01 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Dierdre Sadeh
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
7-6, 6-3
L
Daven Foulk / Mary Wilson
2026-05-25 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Nancy Kepner
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-7, 6-3, 1-0
L
Kim Phillips / Lynn Arenson
2026-05-14 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Julia Tynan
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-2, 6-3
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.