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Lawrence Shepherd

Moses Lake, WA
3.0C year-end 2025
25 matches · 15W–10L · seasons 20252026
Bump probability
2.53.03.5lowhigh
Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely.
i
The dashed lines are the edges of your band. The three shaded areas are exactly the three percentages below — area here is the chance of one outcome for you, not a count of players.
2.89
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 15 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 2.5
92%
stay 3.0
8%
up to 3.5
Projected to December: 0% down · 98% stay · 2% up, from a year-end estimate of 2.83. Lower than today’s 2.89 because form regresses — players this far into their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.0 runs from 2.51 to 3.00. This rating sits in the upper half of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure.
i
scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model. USTA publishes year-end ratings in December, which is when this gets graded against what actually happened.
Where you rank
WA · 3.0
806 of 1753
By our estimated rating, not the published level.
i
Lawrence is ranked against players at the same level in the same place. The published level is identical for everyone in a band, so it cannot separate them — our estimate can. Groups smaller than five are not ranked at all, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Lawrence has been a steady 3.0 across all 2 seasons on record.

2.53.020252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level4 levels played
3.0
66.7%
6W–3L · 52.1% of games
3.5
1W–1L
not enough matches yet
6.0
71.4%
5W–2L · 60% of games
6.0mixed
40%
2W–3L · 53.9% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history25 matches
L
2026-07-25 · #2 Doubles · 6.0 · with Rebecca Hiles
+0.000about as expected — took 50% of games against 51% expected
6-3, 2-6, 1-0
W
2026-07-24 · #1 Doubles · 6.0 · with Rebecca Hiles
+0.000about as expected — took 61% of games against 60% expected
6-1, 4-6, 1-0
L
2026-07-24 · #2 Doubles · 6.0 · with Rebecca Hiles
+0.000below expectation — took 44% of games against 51% expected
7-5, 7-6
W
2026-05-17 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Aric Robertson
+0.026better than expected — took 52% of games against 42% expected
6-4, 5-7, 1-0
W
Sean Michael / Jacob Throolin
2026-05-16 · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with Ryan Brooks
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-3, 1-6, 1-0
W
David Porter / Daniel Cragin
2026-05-15 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Brian Cunnington
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-2, 6-2
L
Bill Schoultz / Jerry Henderson
2026-05-15 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Aric Robertson
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-4, 6-4
W
Chris Denney / Scott Adams
2026-02-22 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Andrew McNabb
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
7-5, 6-2
W
Roderick Busalpa / Eric Ferguson
2026-02-22 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Brian Cunnington
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-3, 7-5
W
Luis Cruz / Nelson Lee
2026-02-21 · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with Jaehun Chun
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
7-6, 2-6, 1-0
L
Jeff Ketcham / Karl Lieberknecht
2026-02-20 · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with Andrew McNabb
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
7-6, 7-5
W
Wayne Leitner / Carlos Peredo
2025-10-26 · #2 Doubles · 6.0 · with John Hilmes
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-1, 6-3
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.