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Erin Canova

Aloha, OR
3.0C year-end 2025
105 matches · 60W–45L · seasons 20192026
Bump probability
2.53.03.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

2.87
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 15 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 2.5
95%
stay 3.0
5%
up to 3.5
Projected to December: 0% down · 99% stay · 1% up, from a year-end estimate of 2.82. Lower than today’s 2.87 because form regresses — players this far into their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.0 runs from 2.51 to 3.00. This rating sits in the upper half of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
OR · 3.0
264 of 600

Erin is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Teams26 teams · 2016–2026
THPRD-Li/Joseph
2026 Adult 40 & Over · 3.0 Women
2026
NOR-THPRD-Corrales
2026 Adult 18 & Over · 3.0 Women
2026
THPRD-Li/Rich
2025 Adult 40 & Over · 3.0 Women
2025
THPRD-Li/Holland
2025 Adult 18 & Over · 3.0 Women
2025
THPRD-Li/Rich
2024 Adult 40 & Over · 3.0 Women
2024
THPRD-Zhang/Fang
2024 Mixed 18 & Over · 6.0 Mixed
2024
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Erin has been 3.0 for all 8 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the bottom of the band to the top.

2.53.020192020202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.0, Erin has gone from the 38th to the 89th percentile of players at that level, 2019 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level3 levels played
3.0
61%
50W–32L · 53.4% of games
3.5
0W–2L
not enough matches yet
6.0mixed
64.3%
9W–5L · 56.4% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history105 matches
L
2026-07-29 · #1 Singles · 3.5
+0.032about as expected — took 29% of games against 25% expected
6-2, 6-3
L
Ying Deng
2026-07-10 · #1 Singles · 3.5
0.014below expectation — took 41% of games against 48% expected
7-5, 6-4
L
Betty Koon / Alice Hollandchamps
2026-06-21 · NOR-THPRD-Corrales · #2 Doubles · with Ryann Hulme
+0.019better than expected — took 44% of games against 37% expected
2-6, 6-1, 1-0
L
2026-06-20 · NOR-THPRD-Corrales · #2 Singles
0.046below expectation — took 14% of games against 42% expected
6-1, 6-1
L
Alexis Nelson Knapp
2026-06-07 · NOR-THPRD-Corrales · #1 Singles · 3.0
0.056below expectation — took 0% of games against 36% expected
6-0, 6-0
W
2026-05-17 · NOR-THPRD-Corrales · #1 Singles · 3.0
+0.022better than expected — took 92% of games against 70% expected
6-1, 6-0
W
Erin Boehm
2026-05-10 · NOR-THPRD-Corrales · #1 Singles · 3.0
+0.020better than expected — took 75% of games against 61% expected
6-0, 6-4
W
2026-04-26 · NOR-THPRD-Corrales · #1 Singles · 3.0
+0.047better than expected — took 92% of games against 62% expected
6-0, 6-1
L
Melissa Harderchamps
2026-04-10 · NOR-THPRD-Corrales · #1 Singles
0.008about as expected — took 39% of games against 44% expected
4-6, 6-1, 1-0
W
Natasha Busse / Simone Frank
2026-04-03 · NOR-THPRD-Corrales · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Angie Corrales
+0.014better than expected — took 67% of games against 58% expected
6-4, 6-2
W
2026-03-29 · NOR-THPRD-Corrales · #2 Singles · 3.0
0.018below expectation — took 45% of games against 55% expected
2-6, 7-6, 1-0
W
Athena Rubin
2026-02-15 · THPRD-Li/Joseph · #1 Singles · 3.0
+0.015better than expected — took 61% of games against 53% expected
4-6, 6-1, 1-0
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