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Tugce Varol

Valley Center, CA
4.0C year-end 2025
146 matches · 56W–90L · seasons 20192026
Bump probability
3.54.04.5lowhigh
Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely.
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The dashed lines are the edges of your band. The three shaded areas are exactly the three percentages below — area here is the chance of one outcome for you, not a count of players.
3.55
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 8 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
27%
down to 3.5
73%
stay 4.0
0%
up to 4.5
Projected to December: 16% down · 84% stay · 0% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.58. Higher than today’s 3.55 because players this far below their band have historically finished nearer the middle of it.

A 4.0 runs from 3.51 to 4.00. This rating sits in the bottom of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure.
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scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model. USTA publishes year-end ratings in December, which is when this gets graded against what actually happened.
Where you rank
CA · 4.0
236 of 259
By our estimated rating, not the published level.
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Tugce is ranked against players at the same level in the same place. The published level is identical for everyone in a band, so it cannot separate them — our estimate can. Groups smaller than five are not ranked at all, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Tugce has been 4.0 for all 6 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the bottom of the band to the top.

3.54.0201920222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 4.0, Tugce has gone from the 30th to the 13th percentile of players at that level, 2019 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level2 levels played
4.0
39.4%
50W–77L · 48.2% of games
4.5
25%
3W–9L · 36.2% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history146 matches
W
2026-07-20 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Jessica Cunningham
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
2-6, 6-4, 1-0
L
2026-06-05 · #2 Singles · 4.0
+0.029better than expected — took 44% of games against 34% expected
2-6, 6-1, 1-0
L
Birte Lightner / Charlotte Francovalle
2026-05-22 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Elsie Hammond
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-0, 6-2
L
2026-05-15 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Elsie Hammond
+0.004about as expected — took 29% of games against 34% expected
6-1, 6-4
W
N/A
2026-05-08 · #2 Singles · 4.0
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-0, 6-0
L
Jennifer Bjornstad / Stephanie Yasukochi
2026-05-01 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Elvia Quintana
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
5-7, 6-4, 1-0
L
Becky Yzaguirre / Tenley Gritts
2026-04-17 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Elsie Hammond
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-2, 6-2
L
Sarah Bruno / Lori Lovering
2026-04-03 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Elsie Hammond
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-3, 6-1
W
Devera Marshall / Tatiana Vaschenko
2025-12-01 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Melissa Dodds
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
7-6, 2-6, 1-0
L
Terri Bourne / Kelsey Mueller
2025-11-05 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Elsie Hammond
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-2, 4-6, 1-0
W
N/A
2025-10-29 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Ana Paula Gonzalez
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-0, 6-0
L
Tisha Carney / Kelli Miller
2025-10-15 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Elsie Hammond
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-0, 6-1
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.