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Lara Mannell

San Diego, CA
3.5C year-end 2025
122 matches · 46W–76L · seasons 2023–2026
Bump probability
3.03.54.0lowhigh
Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely.
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The dashed lines are the edges of your band. The three shaded areas are exactly the three percentages below — area here is the chance of one outcome for you, not a count of players.
3.42
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 23 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 3.0
83%
stay 3.5
17%
up to 4.0
Projected to December: 0% down · 96% stay · 4% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.36. Lower than today’s 3.42 because form regresses — players this far into their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.5 runs from 3.01 to 3.50. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure.
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scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model. USTA publishes year-end ratings in December, which is when this gets graded against what actually happened.
Where you rank
San Diego · 3.5
45 of 77
CA · 3.5
86 of 167
By our estimated rating, not the published level.
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Lara is ranked against players at the same level in the same place. The published level is identical for everyone in a band, so it cannot separate them — our estimate can. Groups smaller than five are not ranked at all, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Lara has played at 3.5, 4.0 across 4 seasons — 1 move up and 0 down.

3.03.54.02023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 4.0, Lara has gone from the 3rd to the 0th percentile of players at that level, 2024 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level5 levels played
3.5
57.1%
24W–18L · 51% of games
4.0
20%
10W–40L · 32.9% of games
7.0mixed
40%
4W–6L · 45.4% of games
7.5mixed
1W–1L
not enough matches yet
8.0mixed
40%
4W–6L · 46.4% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history122 matches
W
2026-08-01 · #3 Doubles · 8.0 · with Eric Doan
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
6-4, 0-6, 1-0
L
2026-06-27 · #3 Doubles · 8.0 · with Eric Doan
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
6-4, 3-6, 1-0
W
2026-06-20 · #2 Doubles · 8.0 · with Eric Doan
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
6-4
W
2026-06-12 · #1 Singles · 4.0
+0.022better than expected — took 71% of games against 57% expected
6-3, 6-2
L
2026-06-05 · #1 Singles · 4.0
+0.038about as expected — took 8% of games against 8% expected
6-1, 6-0
L
Diana Kirkland / Maria Daniela Tabet
2026-05-29 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Alejandra Serrano
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
2-6, 6-4, 1-0
L
2026-05-22 · #1 Singles · 4.0
−0.000below expectation — took 14% of games against 27% expected
6-2, 6-0
L
Kimberly Krenek
2026-05-01 · #2 Singles · 4.0
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-0, 6-0
L
Rachel Serna - (DQ)*
2026-04-29 · #1 Singles · 4.0
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-1, 6-0
L
Maru Vega
2026-04-17 · #1 Singles · 4.0
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-1, 6-0
L
Andrea Goodwin
2026-04-10 · #1 Singles · 4.0
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-1, 6-4
L
Katherine Zimmer / Adriana Haskal
2026-04-03 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Iza Sob
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-1, 6-1
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.