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Matt Rainey

SNOHOMISH, WA
3.5C year-end 2025
93 matches · 26W–67L · seasons 20192026
Bump probability
3.03.54.0lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.10
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 18 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
11%
down to 3.0
89%
stay 3.5
0%
up to 4.0
Projected to December: 7% down · 93% stay · 0% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.12. Higher than today’s 3.10 because players this far below their band have historically finished nearer the middle of it.

A 3.5 runs from 3.01 to 3.50. This rating sits in the bottom of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
WA · 3.5
1106 of 1209

Matt is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Matt has been 3.5 for all 8 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the bottom of the band to the middle.

3.03.520192020202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history. The smaller, faded points — 2019 — rest on fewer than 5 matches, where the estimate is mostly the level the player was entered at rather than anything they did on court. Read the shape, not the value.

How you rank at your level
At 3.5, Matt has gone from the 28th to the 4th percentile of players at that level, 2021 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level5 levels played
3.5
27.3%
15W–40L · 40.4% of games
6.0
0W–1L
not enough matches yet
7.0
31%
9W–20L · 43.3% of games
8.0
0W–3L
not enough matches yet
7.0mixed
40%
2W–3L · 45.5% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history93 matches
L
2026-07-18 · #1 Doubles · 7.0 · with Beatrice Oltean
+0.000about as expected — took 35% of games against 39% expected
6-2, 7-5
L
2026-06-28 · #1 Doubles · 7.0 · with Beatrice Oltean
+0.000about as expected — took 41% of games against 36% expected
6-7, 6-2, 1-0
L
Cat Zhang / John Stockbauermixed
2026-06-12 · #2 Doubles · 7.0 · with Carolyn Werner
+0.000better than expected — took 35% of games against 23% expected
6-2, 7-5
L
2026-05-27 · #1 Doubles · 7.0 · with Walt Paulson
0.045below expectation — took 25% of games against 49% expected
6-2, 6-2
W
Bertrand de Boutray / Robert Bennett
2026-05-19 · #3 Doubles · 7.0 · with Jack Goldberg
+0.010better than expected — took 59% of games against 54% expected
6-4, 7-5
W
Ryan Park
2026-05-16 · #2 Singles · 3.5
+0.050better than expected — took 50% of games against 34% expected
2-6, 6-3, 1-0
W
Scott Thomson / Michael Bove
2026-04-20 · #3 Doubles · 7.0 · with David McGrady
+0.069better than expected — took 75% of games against 42% expected
6-2, 3-1
L
James Thomas
2026-03-28 · #2 Singles · 3.5
0.024below expectation — took 38% of games against 50% expected
6-3, 7-5
L
Kurt Schulz / Vinnie Flynt
2026-03-14 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Prakash Kondepudi
0.004below expectation — took 25% of games against 34% expected
6-3, 6-1
L
2026-03-08 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Frank Taylor
0.028below expectation — took 14% of games against 36% expected
6-2, 6-0
L
Zach Zaborowski
2026-02-01 · #1 Singles · 3.5
0.021below expectation — took 25% of games against 40% expected
6-0, 6-4
L
Constantin Dumba
2026-01-25 · #1 Singles · 3.5
0.016below expectation — took 29% of games against 40% expected
6-3, 6-2
What an account addsprivate to you

Signing in lets you point an account at your own record and keep things alongside it: notes on individual matches, your racquet and string setup, restring reminders, friendly matches that never reach TennisLink, and a diary of what you changed and what happened after.

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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.