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Brian Toba

Chicago, IL
3.5C year-end 2025
262 matches · 161W–101L · seasons 20192026
Bump probability
3.03.54.0lowhigh
Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely.
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The dashed lines are the edges of your band. The three shaded areas are exactly the three percentages below — area here is the chance of one outcome for you, not a count of players.
3.04
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 13 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
31%
down to 3.0
69%
stay 3.5
0%
up to 4.0
Projected to December: 19% down · 81% stay · 0% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.07. Higher than today’s 3.04 because players this far below their band have historically finished nearer the middle of it.

A 3.5 runs from 3.01 to 3.50. This rating sits in the bottom of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure.
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scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model. USTA publishes year-end ratings in December, which is when this gets graded against what actually happened.
Where you rank
Chicago · 3.5
63 of 64
IL · 3.5
322 of 327
By our estimated rating, not the published level.
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Brian is ranked against players at the same level in the same place. The published level is identical for everyone in a band, so it cannot separate them — our estimate can. Groups smaller than five are not ranked at all, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Brian has played at 3.5, 4.0 across 8 seasons — 1 move up and 1 down.

3.03.54.020192020202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history. The smaller, faded points — 2019 — rest on fewer than 5 matches, where the estimate is mostly the level the player was entered at rather than anything they did on court. Read the shape, not the value.

How you rank at your level
At 3.5, Brian has gone from the 44th to the 3rd percentile of players at that level, 2020 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level8 levels played
3.5
66.2%
51W–26L · 58.1% of games
4.0
38.9%
14W–22L · 46.5% of games
4.5
70.6%
12W–5L · 62.5% of games
7.5
25%
1W–3L · 48.6% of games
8.0
0W–1L
not enough matches yet
7.0mixed
79.3%
46W–12L · 61% of games
7.5mixed
59.1%
13W–9L · 53.6% of games
8.0mixed
60%
9W–6L · 59.5% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history262 matches
W
2026-08-02 · #2 Doubles · 7.0 · with Haiying Yuan
+0.000better than expected — took 92% of games against 65% expected
6-0, 6-1
L
Marcela Ruvalcaba / Mike Stringermixed
2026-05-16 · #1 Doubles · 7.0 · with Denise Lam
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
7-5, 6-4
W
Jonathan Soco / Cheryl Socomixed
2026-04-25 · #2 Doubles · 7.0 · with Dimitrina Schoyer
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
7-6, 5-1
W
Sateesh Mandumula / Rod Laureano
2026-04-19 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Michael Costello
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-1, 2-6, 1-0
L
Emmanuel Antonio / Mandy Shawmixed
2026-04-18 · #1 Doubles · 7.0 · with Jamie Gorey
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
6-7, 6-2, 1-0
L
2026-02-28 · #2 Doubles · 7.0 · with Haiying Yuan
+0.000below expectation — took 14% of games against 29% expected
6-0, 6-2
L
Sourav Sen / Apoorva Prakash
2026-02-01 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Michael Costello
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-1, 7-5
W
CHRISTINE TAN / Jazz Burksmixed
2026-01-24 · #2 Doubles · 7.0 · with Jennifer Grady
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
6-3, 6-3
L
Michael Hong / Stephen Burriesci
2026-01-18 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Michael Costello
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-2, 7-5
L
Rahul Patet / Elleson Songmixed
2025-12-06 · #1 Doubles · 7.5 · with Kim Kuwabara
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
6-2, 7-5
L
Jacqueline Lakely / Jim Lakelymixed
2025-11-02 · #3 Doubles · 7.0 · with Tina Dandridge
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
4-6, 6-4, 1-0
W
N/Amixed
2025-10-18 · #1 Doubles · 7.0 · with Sherry Polachek
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
6-0, 6-0
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