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Melanie Hoad

San Diego, CA
4.5S year-end 2026
13 matches · 4W–9L · seasons 2022–2026
Bump probability
4.04.55.0lowhigh
Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely.
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The dashed lines are the edges of your band. The three shaded areas are exactly the three percentages below — area here is the chance of one outcome for you, not a count of players.
4.22
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 8 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 4.0
100%
stay 4.5
0%
up to 5.0

A 4.5 runs from 4.01 to 4.50. This rating sits in the middle of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure.
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scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model. USTA publishes year-end ratings in December, which is when this gets graded against what actually happened.
Where you rank
San Diego · 4.5
12 of 36
CA · 4.5
54 of 176
By our estimated rating, not the published level.
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Melanie is ranked against players at the same level in the same place. The published level is identical for everyone in a band, so it cannot separate them — our estimate can. Groups smaller than five are not ranked at all, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Melanie has been a steady 4.5 across all 2 seasons on record.

4.04.520222026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 4.5, Melanie has gone from the 1st to the 49th percentile of players at that level, 2022 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level1 levels played
4.5
30.8%
4W–9L · 42.2% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history13 matches
W
2026-08-02 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Natalie DeForest
+0.004about as expected — took 47% of games against 47% expected
6-4, 2-6, 1-0
W
2026-07-12 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Nadine Utz
+0.039better than expected — took 86% of games against 61% expected
6-0, 6-2
L
Loretta Warren / Anna Palmer
2026-06-14 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Natalie DeForest
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-2, 3-0
L
2026-06-06 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Grace Ogihara
+0.027better than expected — took 45% of games against 36% expected
4-6, 6-3, 1-0
L
Giana Guerra / Tami Burns
2026-05-09 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Angela Chang
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
4-6, 6-3, 1-0
W
Carol Smith / Darci Pani
2026-05-09 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Maegen Demko
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-2, 6-3
W
Zoe Davis / Sheena Patel
2026-05-02 · #2 Doubles · 4.5 · with Chloe Erikson
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-4, 6-4
L
Kellie Doyle / Dana Moskowitz
2026-04-18 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Eve Sullivan
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-2, 6-4
L
Tina Giubilato / Ifunanya Aniefuna
2022-09-25 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Mia Tazi
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-1, 6-3
L
2022-08-26 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Carla Zarbo
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-2, 7-5
L
Joan Yngson / Arielle Valera
2022-08-05 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Susan Davis
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-1, 6-1
L
Arielle Valera / Gina Sherer
2022-07-01 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Mia Vaughnes
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-4, 6-2
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.