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Heidi Carlson

Seattle, WA
2.5C year-end 2025
60 matches · 19W–41L · seasons 20212026
Bump probability
2.02.53.0lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

2.40
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 16 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 2.0
90%
stay 2.5
10%
up to 3.0
Projected to December: 0% down · 98% stay · 2% up, from a year-end estimate of 2.34. Lower than today’s 2.40 because form regresses — players this far into their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 2.5 runs from 2.01 to 2.50. This rating sits in the upper half of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Seattle · 2.5
30 of 45
WA · 2.5
134 of 197

Heidi is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Heidi has been 2.5 for all 6 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the middle of the band to the top.

2.02.5202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 2.5, Heidi has gone from the 63rd to the 33rd percentile of players at that level, 2023 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level4 levels played
2.5
35.7%
15W–27L · 46.3% of games
3.0
25%
2W–6L · 42% of games
6.0
1W–2L
not enough matches yet
6.0mixed
0W–2L
not enough matches yet

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history60 matches
L
2026-07-18 · #2 Doubles · 6.0 · with Frederik Christo Leopold
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
6-4, 6-3
L
2026-06-14 · #1 Doubles · 6.0 · with Frederik Christo Leopold
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
6-4, 6-4
W
2026-04-19 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Dana Sasinowski
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-3, 4-5
L
Emily Detmon / Jen Greenberg
2026-04-13 · #1 Doubles · 2.5 · with Valerie Dillard
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-0, 6-4
W
Mingyi He / Jiayao Wang
2026-04-03 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Elizabeth Peijnenburg
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-4, 6-3
L
Leslie Kwor / Rachelle Steijnchamps
2026-03-27 · #1 Doubles · with Lindsay Roitman
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-3, 6-2
W
Christine Christenson / Donna Peha
2026-03-23 · #2 Doubles · 2.5 · with Tracy Paul
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-0, 6-0
L
Vitida Robinson / Caiping Zangchamps
2026-03-21 · #1 Doubles · with Alison MacBeth
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-7, 6-2, 1-0
L
2026-03-14 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Corinne Crabs
+0.054better than expected — took 48% of games against 29% expected
5-7, 6-4, 1-0
L
Rachael Claridge / Alison Muir
2026-03-07 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Daniella Kim
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-3, 4-6, 1-0
W
Ghazal Varamini / Jessica Tjhin Southworth
2026-02-28 · #2 Doubles · 2.5 · with Morgan Thomas
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
3-6, 6-2, 1-0
L
Bethany Brown / Abby Miller
2026-01-24 · #1 Doubles · 2.5 · with Alison MacBeth
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
3-6, 6-1, 1-0
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.