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Ashley MESSENGER

Scottsdale, AZ
4.5C year-end 2025
68 matches · 42W–26L · seasons 2023–2026
Bump probability
4.04.55.0lowhigh
Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely.
i
The dashed lines are the edges of your band. The three shaded areas are exactly the three percentages below — area here is the chance of one outcome for you, not a count of players.
3.92
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 25 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
85%
down to 4.0
15%
stay 4.5
0%
up to 5.0
Projected to December: 60% down · 40% stay · 0% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.98. Higher than today’s 3.92 because players this far below their band have historically finished nearer the middle of it.

A 4.5 runs from 4.01 to 4.50. This rating sits in the bottom of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure.
i
scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model. USTA publishes year-end ratings in December, which is when this gets graded against what actually happened.
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Ashley has played at 4.0, 4.5 across 3 seasons — 1 move up and 1 down.

3.54.04.5202320252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 4.0, Ashley has gone from the 93rd to the 94th percentile of players at that level, 2023 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level5 levels played
4.0
84.6%
22W–4L · 64% of games
4.5
43.3%
13W–17L · 45.8% of games
8.5
3W–0L
not enough matches yet
7.0mixed
0W–1L
not enough matches yet
8.0mixed
50%
2W–2L · 57.9% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history68 matches
L
Karin Smith / Linda Marz
2026-07-16 · #3 Doubles · 4.5 · with Jessica Schulz
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-2, 6-1
W
Amy Earl / Alisa Gardner
2026-06-25 · #3 Doubles · 4.5 · with Mariana Gaitan
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-3, 7-6
L
2026-06-18 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Carly Reese
+0.002below expectation — took 25% of games against 32% expected
6-1, 6-3
L
Karen Taylor / Dawn Schuerkamp
2026-04-20 · #2 Doubles · 4.5 · with Jenny Allen
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
4-6, 6-1, 1-0
W
Christine Veitzer / TAUNYA DAVIS
2026-04-01 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Jeani Mccormick
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
4-6, 6-2, 1-0
L
Laura Champagne / Kate Moore
2026-03-25 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Jaime Scanlin
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-2, 6-3
W
Allison Salmon / Julie Walker
2026-03-18 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Kathryn Cook
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
3-6, 7-5, 1-0
L
Lindsey Henke / Meghan Denning Yuan
2026-03-16 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Jenny Allen
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-2, 6-2
L
Kristen Johnson / Esther Chenchamps
2026-03-08 · #2 Doubles · with Kristy Martin
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-3, 6-1
L
Madeline Chang / Cynthia Garciachamps
2026-03-07 · #2 Doubles · with Kristy Martin
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-1, 6-4
W
Julie Stedronsky / Allison Salmon
2026-02-25 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Jaime Scanlin
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
7-5, 5-7, 1-0
L
Laura Mullins / Denise Richardson
2026-02-23 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Beth Understahl
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-4, 6-1
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.