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Tom Church-Adams

ALPHARETTA, GA
3.0C year-end 2025
57 matches · 32W–25L · seasons 20222026
Bump probability
2.53.03.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.08
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 5 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 2.5
16%
stay 3.0
84%
up to 3.5
Projected to December: 0% down · 61% stay · 39% up, from a year-end estimate of 2.98. Lower than today’s 3.08 because form regresses — players this far above their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.0 runs from 2.51 to 3.00. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Teams14 teams · 2022–2026
Kingsley Estates (Kara O'Neill)*
Usta Atlanta Spring - Mixed 18 & Over · 3.5 Mixed
2026
SHC-Patrick
2025 Mixed 18 & Over · 6.0 Mixed
2025
SHC-Lomax
2025 Adult 18 & Over · 3.5 Men
2025
SHC-Patrick
2025 Adult 18 & Over · 3.0 Men
2025
N OR-SHC-Patrick
2025 Adult 40 & Over · 3.0 Men
2025
SHC-Church-Adams/Allen
2024 Adult 18 & Over · 3.0 Men
2024
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Tom has been 3.0 for all 4 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the middle of the band to the top.

2.53.02022202320242025

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history. The smaller, faded points — 2022 — rest on fewer than 5 matches, where the estimate is mostly the level the player was entered at rather than anything they did on court. Read the shape, not the value.

How you rank at your level
At 3.0, Tom has gone from the 55th to the 99th percentile of players at that level, 2023 to 2025.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level4 levels played
3.0
59.3%
16W–11L · 57.5% of games
3.5
25%
1W–3L · 40.3% of games
3.5mixed
60%
3W–2L · 50.5% of games
6.0mixed
52.6%
10W–9L · 49.7% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history57 matches
W
Manvendra Kumar / Michele Greenmixed
2026-04-24 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Heather Windbiel
+0.000better than expected — took 56% of games against 46% expected
7-5, 7-6
L
Dima Kouznetsov / Amelia Kouznetsovmixed
2026-03-27 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Heather Windbiel
+0.000below expectation — took 25% of games against 44% expected
6-2, 6-2
L
Thanh Nguyen / Tracy Nguyenmixed
2026-03-20 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Amanda Weir
+0.000better than expected — took 38% of games against 30% expected
7-5, 6-3
W
Morgan Kondratev / Nikita Kondratevmixed
2026-03-13 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Kara O'Neill
+0.000better than expected — took 86% of games against 46% expected
6-1, 6-1
W
Jane Russell / Hayden St.Romainmixed
2026-03-11 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Maxine Young
+0.000better than expected — took 52% of games against 46% expected
6-7, 7-6, 1-0
L
2025-05-17 · SHC-Lomax · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Jason Hyde
0.034below expectation — took 14% of games against 37% expected
6-0, 6-2
L
2025-04-27 · SHC-Lomax · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Kevin Allen
+0.011better than expected — took 47% of games against 42% expected
3-6, 6-3, 1-0
W
2025-04-11 · SHC-Lomax · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Jason Hyde
+0.030better than expected — took 62% of games against 48% expected
6-2, 7-6
L
2025-04-06 · SHC-Patrick · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with Kevin Allen
0.070below expectation — took 41% of games against 67% expected
6-1, 3-6, 1-0
L
2025-04-05 · SHC-Lomax · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Kevin Allen
0.019below expectation — took 28% of games against 40% expected
7-5, 6-0
W
2025-03-23 · #1 Doubles · with Kevin Allen
+0.058better than expected — took 80% of games against 49% expected
6-1, 6-2
W
2025-03-22 · #2 Doubles · with Kevin Allen
0.018about as expected — took 62% of games against 66% expected
7-5, 6-3
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.