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Riley Ceria

Hilo, HI
3.5C year-end 2025
137 matches · 94W–43L · seasons 2022–2026
Bump probability
3.03.54.0lowhigh
Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely.
i
The dashed lines are the edges of your band. The three shaded areas are exactly the three percentages below — area here is the chance of one outcome for you, not a count of players.
3.22
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 10 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 3.0
100%
stay 3.5
0%
up to 4.0

A 3.5 runs from 3.01 to 3.50. This rating sits in the middle of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure.
i
scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model. USTA publishes year-end ratings in December, which is when this gets graded against what actually happened.
Where you rank
Hilo · 3.5
13 of 24
HI · 3.5
72 of 91
By our estimated rating, not the published level.
i
Riley is ranked against players at the same level in the same place. The published level is identical for everyone in a band, so it cannot separate them — our estimate can. Groups smaller than five are not ranked at all, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Riley has played at 3.0, 3.5 across 5 seasons — 1 move up and 0 down.

2.53.03.520222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.5, Riley has gone from the 47th to the 33rd percentile of players at that level, 2022 to 2024.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level7 levels played
3.0
77.8%
14W–4L · 61.8% of games
3.5
52.4%
11W–10L · 47.2% of games
6.0
78.6%
11W–3L · 64.2% of games
7.0
84.6%
11W–2L · 58.1% of games
6.0mixed
81%
17W–4L · 61.9% of games
7.0mixed
69.6%
16W–7L · 60.8% of games
8.0mixed
0W–1L
not enough matches yet

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history137 matches
W
2026-07-25 · #3 Doubles · 7.0 · with Mei Ceria
+0.000better than expected — took 80% of games against 64% expected
6-1, 6-2
L
2026-07-24 · #2 Doubles · 8.0 · with Tomomi Furuhata
+0.000better than expected — took 39% of games against 24% expected
4-6, 6-1, 1-0
W
Wayne Yamada / Ramona Sakamotomixed
2026-05-30 · #1 Doubles · 7.0 · with Mei Ceria
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
6-2, 5-7, 1-0
L
Aaron Nishiura / Jill Atwalmixed
2026-03-29 · #3 Doubles · 7.0 · with Mei Ceria
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
6-2, 6-3
W
Lance Kaneshiro / Lance Sewake
2026-03-01 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Ted Hong
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-4, 6-3
W
Reginald Leite / Amanda Kualiimixed
2026-02-22 · #2 Doubles · 7.0 · with Mei Ceria
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
6-3, 6-0
W
TAKAMASA BANDO / Jocelyn Cortezmixed
2026-02-21 · #1 Doubles · 7.0 · with Mei Ceria
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
6-3, 2-6, 1-0
W
Adam Long
2026-02-04 · #1 Singles · 3.5
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-4, 6-2
L
2026-01-25 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with RYAN OKAMURA
+0.018about as expected — took 32% of games against 31% expected
7-5, 6-1
L
Jon Tokuuke / Ty de Silva
2026-01-21 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with RYAN OKAMURA
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-0, 6-2
L
Tomoko Sakishima / Keith Kunimotomixed
2025-04-05 · #2 Doubles · 7.0 · with Mei Ceria
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
6-3, 6-4
W
Terri Inouye / Dave Okamuramixed
2025-03-29 · #3 Doubles · 7.0 · with Mei Ceria
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
6-0, 6-0
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.