← Search

Danielle Sebastian

Missoula, MT
3.0C year-end 2025
29 matches · 8W–21L · seasons 2022–2026
Bump probability
2.53.03.5lowhigh
Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely.
i
The dashed lines are the edges of your band. The three shaded areas are exactly the three percentages below — area here is the chance of one outcome for you, not a count of players.
3.09
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 7 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 2.5
14%
stay 3.0
86%
up to 3.5
Projected to December: 0% down · 59% stay · 41% up, from a year-end estimate of 2.98. Lower than today’s 3.09 because form regresses — players this far above their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.0 runs from 2.51 to 3.00. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure.
i
scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model. USTA publishes year-end ratings in December, which is when this gets graded against what actually happened.
Where you rank
MT · 3.0
6 of 6
By our estimated rating, not the published level.
i
Danielle is ranked against players at the same level in the same place. The published level is identical for everyone in a band, so it cannot separate them — our estimate can. Groups smaller than five are not ranked at all, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Danielle has played at 3.0, 3.5 across 5 seasons — 2 moves up and 1 down.

2.53.03.520222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history. The smaller, faded points — 2024 — rest on fewer than 5 matches, where the estimate is mostly the level the player was entered at rather than anything they did on court. Read the shape, not the value.

How you rank at your level
At 3.5, Danielle has gone from the 18th to the 15th percentile of players at that level, 2022 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level2 levels played
3.0
50%
3W–3L · 51.9% of games
3.5
21.7%
5W–18L · 37.8% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history29 matches
W
2026-07-26 · #1 Singles · 3.5
+0.019better than expected — took 52% of games against 45% expected
7-6, 6-7, 1-0
L
2026-07-26 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Rachel Cummins
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-3, 6-1
L
2026-07-25 · #1 Singles · 3.5
+0.039better than expected — took 47% of games against 33% expected
2-6, 6-2, 1-0
L
2026-06-14 · #2 Singles · 3.5
+0.030better than expected — took 40% of games against 32% expected
6-1, 5-7, 1-0
L
2026-06-13 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Laurel Farrell
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
5-7, 6-2, 1-0
W
2026-06-13 · #1 Singles · 3.5
+0.061better than expected — took 47% of games against 31% expected
6-4, 2-6, 1-0
L
Emily Davis / Sarah Hamilton
2026-06-12 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Shelby Riley
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-1, 6-3
L
2025-07-27 · #1 Singles · 3.5
−0.034below expectation — took 0% of games against 30% expected
6-0, 6-0
L
Aimee Schrank
2025-07-27 · #1 Singles · 3.5
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-3, 6-4
L
Rosanna Watson / Maria King
2025-07-26 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Holly Giles
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-4, 6-4
L
Tina Ovnic / Angela Watschke
2025-07-26 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Holly Giles
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-3, 6-1
L
2025-07-25 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Holly Giles
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-3, 6-2
What an account addsprivate to you

Signing in lets you point an account at your own record and keep things alongside it: notes on individual matches, your racquet and string setup, restring reminders, friendly matches that never reach TennisLink, and a diary of what you changed and what happened after.

None of it is visible to anyone else. Not to other players, not on your public page, not in search. Every private table is scoped to your account at the database level, so it is enforced rather than promised. The public page you are looking at is built from USTA match results and nothing else.

Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.