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Ashlee Heartt

Oceanside, CA
3.5C year-end 2025
48 matches · 25W–23L · seasons 20232026
Bump probability
3.03.54.0lowhigh
Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely.
i
The dashed lines are the edges of your band. The three shaded areas are exactly the three percentages below — area here is the chance of one outcome for you, not a count of players.
3.68
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 3 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 3.0
1%
stay 3.5
99%
up to 4.0
Projected to December: 0% down · 26% stay · 74% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.55. Lower than today’s 3.68 because form regresses — players this far above their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.5 runs from 3.01 to 3.50. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure.
i
scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model. USTA publishes year-end ratings in December, which is when this gets graded against what actually happened.
Where you rank
CA · 3.5
8 of 167
By our estimated rating, not the published level.
i
Ashlee is ranked against players at the same level in the same place. The published level is identical for everyone in a band, so it cannot separate them — our estimate can. Groups smaller than five are not ranked at all, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Ashlee has played at 3.5, 4.0 across 4 seasons — 1 move up and 0 down.

3.03.54.02023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history. The smaller, faded points — 2026 — rest on fewer than 5 matches, where the estimate is mostly the level the player was entered at rather than anything they did on court. Read the shape, not the value.

How you rank at your level
At 4.0, Ashlee has gone from the 73rd to the 3rd percentile of players at that level, 2024 to 2025.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level3 levels played
3.0
0%
0W–4L · 29% of games
3.5
63%
17W–10L · 57.4% of games
4.0
47.1%
8W–9L · 50% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history48 matches
W
Heather Kowieski / Maria Nymark-McMahon
2026-07-27 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Beth Piper
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-1, 6-4
W
2026-07-06 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Audra Markman
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-1, 5-7, 1-0
W
Lisa Mallory / Cristiana De Rezende
2026-06-29 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Beth Piper
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-4, 6-3
W
Tara MILBRAND / Suzanne E Shupe
2025-12-10 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Beth Piper
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-0, 6-3
W
Rachel Wagner / Kristen Howell
2025-12-05 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Audra Markman
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-2, 6-1
W
Kelsey Cane / Rosa Galeas-Vamadeva
2025-11-19 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Beth Piper
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-3, 6-4
L
2025-05-23 · #2 Singles · 4.0
+0.002below expectation — took 25% of games against 32% expected
6-1, 6-3
L
HONG ZEMAN
2025-05-21 · #1 Singles · 4.0
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
7-6, 6-7, 1-0
L
2025-05-09 · #1 Singles · 4.0
0.031below expectation — took 8% of games against 33% expected
6-0, 6-1
L
2025-05-02 · #2 Singles · 4.0
+0.035better than expected — took 48% of games against 35% expected
4-6, 6-4, 1-0
L
Yoon Choi
2025-04-25 · #1 Singles · 4.0
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-3, 6-1
L
2025-04-11 · #1 Singles · 4.0
0.014below expectation — took 25% of games against 37% expected
6-2, 6-2
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.