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Robert Carlton

PORTLAND, OR
3.5C year-end 2025
29 matches · 23W–6L · seasons 20242026
Bump probability
3.03.54.0lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.60
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 7 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 3.0
11%
stay 3.5
89%
up to 4.0
Projected to December: 0% down · 54% stay · 46% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.49. Lower than today’s 3.60 because form regresses — players this far above their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.5 runs from 3.01 to 3.50. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
PORTLAND · 3.5
1 of 17
OR · 3.5
23 of 735

Robert is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Teams6 teams · 2024–2026
NOR-MAC-Wehner
2026 Adult 18 & Over · 3.5 Men
2026
MAC-Wehner
2025 Adult 18 & Over · 3.5 Men
2025
LOTC-Lee/Hasle
2025 Adult 18 & Over · 4.0 Men
2025
Eisen/Wehner
2025 One Doubles · 3.5 Men
2025
MAC-Bosworth
2024 Adult 18 & Over · 3.0 Men
2024
Boyko/Carlton
2024 One Doubles · 3.0 Men
2024
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Robert has been 3.5 for all 3 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the bottom of the band to the top.

3.03.5202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.5, Robert has gone from the 58th to the 98th percentile of players at that level, 2025 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level3 levels played
3.0
75%
9W–3L · 62.8% of games
3.5
80%
8W–2L · 59.4% of games
4.0
80%
4W–1L · 52.9% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history29 matches
W
James Posfordchamps
2026-06-21 · NOR-MAC-Wehner · #1 Singles
0.001better than expected — took 75% of games against 68% expected
6-3, 6-1
W
2026-06-20 · NOR-MAC-Wehner · #1 Singles
0.000better than expected — took 86% of games against 73% expected
6-1, 6-1
W
2026-05-31 · NOR-MAC-Wehner · #1 Singles · 3.5
+0.088better than expected — took 100% of games against 52% expected
6-0, 6-0
W
2026-05-30 · NOR-MAC-Wehner · #1 Singles · 3.5
+0.022better than expected — took 67% of games against 54% expected
6-4, 6-2
W
2026-05-24 · NOR-MAC-Wehner · #1 Singles · 3.5
+0.013better than expected — took 53% of games against 47% expected
3-6, 6-3, 1-0
W
2026-05-17 · NOR-MAC-Wehner · #1 Singles · 3.5
+0.021better than expected — took 55% of games against 46% expected
7-6, 4-3
W
2026-05-09 · NOR-MAC-Wehner · #1 Singles · 3.5
+0.049better than expected — took 80% of games against 53% expected
6-1, 6-2
W
2025-07-28 · Eisen/Wehner · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Alejandro Kitzis
+0.007about as expected — took 54% of games against 51% expected
6-7, 6-4, 1-0
W
2025-07-23 · Eisen/Wehner · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Alejandro Kitzis
+0.009about as expected — took 59% of games against 54% expected
6-3, 7-6
L
2025-07-14 · Eisen/Wehner · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Kyle Wehner
0.008below expectation — took 29% of games against 38% expected
6-2, 6-3
W
2025-06-14 · LOTC-Lee/Hasle · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Steven Baer
+0.036better than expected — took 65% of games against 47% expected
6-2, 7-5
W
Gabe Gardner
2025-06-01 · LOTC-Lee/Hasle · #2 Singles · 4.0
+0.047better than expected — took 67% of games against 44% expected
6-2, 6-4
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