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Dawn Umstot

Tacoma, WA
2.5C year-end 2025
71 matches · 31W–40L · seasons 2024–2026
Bump probability
2.02.53.0lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

2.56
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 33 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 2.0
23%
stay 2.5
77%
up to 3.0
Projected to December: 0% down · 68% stay · 32% up, from a year-end estimate of 2.46. Lower than today’s 2.56 because form regresses — players this far above their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 2.5 runs from 2.01 to 2.50. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Tacoma · 2.5
5 of 6
WA · 2.5
27 of 57

Dawn is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Dawn has been a steady 2.5 across all 3 seasons on record.

2.02.5202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 2.5, Dawn has gone from the 32nd to the 75th percentile of players at that level, 2024 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level4 levels played
2.5
60.5%
23W–15L · 58% of games
3.0
9.1%
1W–10L · 32.8% of games
6.0
1W–2L
not enough matches yet
6.0mixed
35.7%
5W–9L · 42.5% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history71 matches
L
Andrea Donovan / Samara Laynor
2026-07-18 · #1 Doubles · 2.5 · with Cheryl Wald
+0.006about as expected — took 56% of games against 51% expected
6-4, 1-6, 1-0
L
Stephanie Chinn / Jennifer Kenmir
2026-07-01 · #1 Doubles · 2.5 · with Cheryl Wald
−0.050below expectation — took 35% of games against 58% expected
6-7, 6-0, 1-0
L
2026-06-26 · #1 Doubles · 2.5 · with Cheryl Wald
−0.070below expectation — took 8% of games against 46% expected
6-0, 6-1
W
Leanne Hill / Julia Smit
2026-06-18 · #1 Doubles · 2.5 · with Cheryl Wald
+0.071better than expected — took 86% of games against 48% expected
6-2, 6-0
W
Karen Doten / Andrea Nye
2026-06-16 · #1 Doubles · 2.5 · with Cheryl Wald
+0.039better than expected — took 86% of games against 61% expected
6-0, 6-2
L
2026-06-14 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Cheryl Wald
+0.005about as expected — took 32% of games against 35% expected
6-1, 7-5
W
Deanna Huie / Betsy Stephenson
2026-06-13 · #2 Doubles · 2.5 · with Karen Doten
+0.022better than expected — took 75% of games against 60% expected
6-3, 6-1
W
Gina Lake / Adriana Zamora
2026-06-09 · #1 Doubles · 2.5 · with Cheryl Wald
+0.062better than expected — took 92% of games against 57% expected
6-1, 6-0
W
Shannon Suchland / Stacy Dilworth
2026-05-25 · #1 Doubles · 2.5 · with Cheryl Wald
+0.012better than expected — took 71% of games against 61% expected
6-2, 6-3
W
Joei Phillips / Lonnie Rosetsky
2026-05-24 · #1 Doubles · 2.5 · with Cheryl Wald
−0.048below expectation — took 50% of games against 68% expected
4-6, 7-6, 1-0
W
2026-05-09 · #3 Doubles · 6.0 · with Greg Worden
+0.000better than expected — took 75% of games against 50% expected
6-2, 6-2
L
Lori Denton / Anne Marie Stedham
2026-05-03 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Vallerie Thoms
−0.022below expectation — took 38% of games against 49% expected
6-0, 3-6, 1-0
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.