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Paul Cabellon

Brier, WA
3.0C year-end 2025
43 matches · 18W–25L · seasons 2024–2026
Bump probability
2.53.03.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.03
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 20 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 2.5
33%
stay 3.0
67%
up to 3.5
Projected to December: 0% down · 76% stay · 24% up, from a year-end estimate of 2.94. Lower than today’s 3.03 because form regresses — players this far above their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.0 runs from 2.51 to 3.00. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Brier · 3.0
1 of 5
WA · 3.0
271 of 1529

Paul is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Paul has played at 3.5, 3.0 across 3 seasons — 0 moves up and 1 down.

2.53.03.5202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level5 levels played
3.0
70%
7W–3L · 51.1% of games
3.5
25%
3W–9L · 46.3% of games
4.0
0%
0W–4L · 27.3% of games
6.0mixed
42.9%
3W–4L · 48% of games
7.0mixed
50%
5W–5L · 48.9% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history43 matches
L
2026-07-26 · #2 Doubles · 6.0 · with Rachel Malen
+0.000below expectation — took 25% of games against 57% expected
6-3, 6-1
L
2026-07-11 · #1 Doubles · 6.0 · with Sarah Parrilla
+0.000about as expected — took 50% of games against 47% expected
5-7, 7-6, 1-0
L
Jennifer Eng / David Jacobmixed
2026-06-27 · #2 Doubles · 6.0 · with Sarah Parrilla
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
6-4, 6-2
W
2026-06-19 · #3 Doubles · 6.0 · with Rachel Malen
+0.000about as expected — took 65% of games against 66% expected
6-1, 7-6
W
Daniel Du
2026-05-09 · #1 Singles · 3.0
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
5-7, 6-4, 1-0
L
Xi Chen / Wei Zhao
2026-05-02 · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with Jarrod Taylor
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-7, 6-2, 1-0
L
2026-04-26 · #2 Singles · 3.0
−0.014below expectation — took 33% of games against 42% expected
6-3, 6-3
W
Joshua Carlos
2026-04-18 · #2 Singles · 3.0
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-2, 3-6, 1-0
W
2026-04-12 · #2 Singles · 3.0
−0.076below expectation — took 53% of games against 80% expected
2-6, 6-2, 1-0
W
2026-03-14 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Mike Cadelago
−0.006about as expected — took 60% of games against 60% expected
6-4, 6-4
W
2026-03-08 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Cesar Castaneda
+0.014better than expected — took 61% of games against 54% expected
4-6, 6-1, 1-0
L
Craig Overfield / Daniel Stark
2026-02-28 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Cat Zimmermann
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-0, 6-4
What an account addsprivate to you

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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.