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Evan Pan

Bellevue, WA
4.5C year-end 2025
67 matches · 45W–22L · seasons 20242026
Bump probability
4.04.55.0lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

4.42
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 25 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 4.0
84%
stay 4.5
16%
up to 5.0
Projected to December: 0% down · 96% stay · 4% up, from a year-end estimate of 4.36. Lower than today’s 4.42 because form regresses — players this far into their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 4.5 runs from 4.01 to 4.50. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Bellevue · 4.5
2 of 23
WA · 4.5
4 of 364

Evan is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Evan has been a steady 4.5 across all 3 seasons on record.

4.04.5202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 4.5, Evan has gone from the 95th to the 96th percentile of players at that level, 2024 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level4 levels played
4.5
74.3%
26W–9L · 63.2% of games
10.0mixed
2W–1L
not enough matches yet
8.0mixed
60%
3W–2L · 56.6% of games
9.0mixed
75%
6W–2L · 59.9% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history67 matches
W
OLIVER LEI / Joy Michael Manda
2026-07-09 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Alexander Calpagiu
0.006about as expected — took 57% of games against 58% expected
6-3, 6-7, 1-0
W
Aditya Iyer / Brandon Nakata
2026-07-03 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Michael Liao
0.035about as expected — took 75% of games against 79% expected
6-4, 6-0
W
Vincent Lin / Raven Thiochamps
2026-06-21 · #2 Doubles · with Michael Liao
0.007about as expected — took 57% of games against 59% expected
7-6, 6-4
W
2026-06-20 · #3 Doubles · with Michael Liao
+0.007about as expected — took 59% of games against 55% expected
6-4, 7-5
W
2026-05-31 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Michael Liao
+0.026better than expected — took 71% of games against 56% expected
6-1, 6-4
W
Will Blanchard / Arjun Murthy
2026-05-22 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Michael Liao
+0.003better than expected — took 75% of games against 66% expected
6-2, 6-2
W
Jacob Buckley / Jacob Lee
2026-05-17 · #3 Doubles · 4.5 · with Michael Liao
+0.025better than expected — took 80% of games against 62% expected
6-1, 6-2
L
Owen Stark / Charlie Williams
2026-05-09 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Michael Liao
0.019below expectation — took 45% of games against 53% expected
4-6, 6-3, 1-0
W
Andres Gutierrez / William Tong
2026-04-19 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Michael Liao
+0.000better than expected — took 68% of games against 63% expected
7-5, 6-1
W
Blake Gettmann / Jack Bong
2026-03-28 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Michael Liao
+0.041better than expected — took 80% of games against 57% expected
6-0, 6-3
W
Timothy Wu / Evan Liu
2026-01-24 · #1 Male Doubles · 4.5 · with Bruno Diaz Torres
+0.025better than expected — took 86% of games against 65% expected
6-1
L
2026-01-09 · #1 Male Doubles · 4.5 · with Joe Zeng
0.022below expectation — took 45% of games against 54% expected
6-5
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.