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Lance Berkey

Woodburn, OR
4.0C year-end 2025
99 matches · 59W–40L · seasons 20192026
Bump probability
3.54.04.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.73
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 19 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 3.5
100%
stay 4.0
0%
up to 4.5

A 4.0 runs from 3.51 to 4.00. This rating sits in the middle of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
OR · 4.0
203 of 498

Lance is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Teams40 teams · 2001–2026
PTC-Ogden/Lux
2026 Adult 18 & Over · 4.0 Men
2026
CHARB-Jackson/Berkey
2026 Adult 55 & Over · 8.0 Men
2026
CHARB-Valenzuela/Mills
2026 Adult 40 & Over · 4.0 Men
2026
CHARB-Jackson/Berkey
2025 Adult 55 & Over · 8.0 Men
2025
CHARB-Mills/Valenzuela
2025 Adult 40 & Over · 4.0 Men
2025
CHARB-Mills/Valenzuela
2024 Adult 40 & Over · 4.0 Men
2024
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Lance has played at 4.5, 4.0 across 6 seasons — 0 moves up and 1 down.

3.54.04.5201920222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history. The smaller, faded points — 2019 — rest on fewer than 5 matches, where the estimate is mostly the level the player was entered at rather than anything they did on court. Read the shape, not the value.

How you rank at your level
At 4.0, Lance has gone from the 81st to the 29th percentile of players at that level, 2022 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level4 levels played
4.0
59.6%
28W–19L · 53.6% of games
4.5
20%
1W–4L · 41.5% of games
8.0
69.2%
27W–12L · 57.1% of games
8.0mixed
1W–2L
not enough matches yet

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history99 matches
W
2026-06-13 · PTC-Ogden/Lux · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Carlin Jackson
+0.001about as expected — took 59% of games against 57% expected
3-6, 6-1, 1-0
L
Matthew Nguyen / Wahyu Setyawan
2026-05-24 · PTC-Ogden/Lux · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with John Jay
0.049below expectation — took 14% of games against 43% expected
6-0, 6-2
W
Don Ormsby / Kyle Pierce
2026-04-26 · PTC-Ogden/Lux · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Carlin Jackson
+0.004better than expected — took 75% of games against 66% expected
6-2, 6-2
L
2026-04-18 · PTC-Ogden/Lux · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Carlin Jackson
0.073below expectation — took 29% of games against 62% expected
6-3, 6-2
W
2026-04-03 · PTC-Ogden/Lux · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Carlin Jackson
0.010below expectation — took 52% of games against 57% expected
6-7, 7-6, 1-0
L
David Richardson / James Hoang
2026-03-22 · CHARB-Valenzuela/Mills · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Bill Rhoades
+0.015better than expected — took 47% of games against 40% expected
6-1, 1-6, 1-0
L
2026-03-14 · CHARB-Valenzuela/Mills · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Craig Mills
+0.027better than expected — took 48% of games against 37% expected
6-4, 4-6, 1-0
L
2026-03-08 · CHARB-Valenzuela/Mills · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Matt Snyder
0.008below expectation — took 29% of games against 38% expected
6-3, 6-2
W
2026-02-27 · CHARB-Valenzuela/Mills · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Matt Snyder
+0.007about as expected — took 50% of games against 48% expected
4-6, 7-6, 1-0
L
2025-11-29 · CHARB-Jackson/Berkey · #1 Doubles · 8.0 · with Danny Denning
+0.006about as expected — took 41% of games against 40% expected
6-3, 7-6
L
2025-11-23 · CHARB-Jackson/Berkey · #1 Doubles · 8.0 · with Paul Blomberg
+0.013about as expected — took 43% of games against 39% expected
6-4, 7-6
W
Brian Posewitz / Harry Semler
2025-11-15 · CHARB-Jackson/Berkey · #2 Doubles · 8.0 · with Tom Lonergan
+0.038better than expected — took 65% of games against 46% expected
6-2, 7-5
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