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Casey Patrick

SARATOGA SPRINGS, UT
4.0C year-end 2025
141 matches · 92W–49L · seasons 2021–2026
Bump probability
3.54.04.5lowhigh
Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely.
i
The dashed lines are the edges of your band. The three shaded areas are exactly the three percentages below — area here is the chance of one outcome for you, not a count of players.
3.73
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 10 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 3.5
100%
stay 4.0
0%
up to 4.5

A 4.0 runs from 3.51 to 4.00. This rating sits in the middle of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure.
i
scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model. USTA publishes year-end ratings in December, which is when this gets graded against what actually happened.
Where you rank
UT · 4.0
72 of 164
By our estimated rating, not the published level.
i
Casey is ranked against players at the same level in the same place. The published level is identical for everyone in a band, so it cannot separate them — our estimate can. Groups smaller than five are not ranked at all, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Casey has played at 3.5, 4.0 across 6 seasons — 1 move up and 0 down.

3.03.54.0202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 4.0, Casey has gone from the 83rd to the 61st percentile of players at that level, 2024 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level13 levels played
0.0
0%
0W–4L · 41.7% of games
3.0
83.3%
5W–1L · 59.6% of games
3.5
70.4%
19W–8L · 58.2% of games
4.0
65.2%
15W–8L · 59% of games
4.5
33.3%
4W–8L · 50.4% of games
6.0
3W–0L
not enough matches yet
7.0
2W–0L
not enough matches yet
6.0mixed
2W–0L
not enough matches yet
6.5mixed
2W–0L
not enough matches yet
7.0mixed
100%
5W–0L · 65.2% of games
7.5mixed
71.4%
5W–2L · 55.6% of games
8.0mixed
84.6%
11W–2L · 60.4% of games
8.5mixed
20%
1W–4L · 40.4% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history141 matches
L
2026-07-09 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Parker Ellis
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
4-6, 7-5, 1-0
L
JJ Amaya / Quinn Pritchettchamps
2026-06-20 · #3 Doubles · with Brian Crowe
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-3, 1-6, 1-0
W
Jesse Mangum / Kevin Daychamps
2026-06-11 · #3 Doubles · with Brian Crowe
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-2, 6-7, 1-0
L
2026-05-21 · #1 Singles · 4.0
−0.074below expectation — took 25% of games against 60% expected
6-1, 6-3
W
Jason McNeill / Patrick Warburton
2026-05-08 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Michael Sotiriou
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
7-5, 6-3
W
Ryne Hazen
2026-04-23 · #1 Singles · 4.0
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-1, 6-3
W
Fred Heath / Andrew McQuarrie
2026-04-09 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with CHRISTOPHER HO
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
2-6, 7-5, 1-0
W
Shih-hao James Pang / Sean Wangchamps
2026-03-06 · #1 Doubles · with Nicholas Mihalyi
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-7, 7-5, 1-0
W
Chuck Russell / Hudson Shorter
2026-02-14 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Benjamin Jagolinzer
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-2, 3-6, 1-0
W
Francisco Rubio / Timothy McNeill
2026-01-31 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Brady Patrick
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
2-6, 6-2, 1-0
W
Michael Perez / Sean Garner
2026-01-24 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Adam Creer
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-2, 6-4
L
Cameron Shelby / Gavin Hattermixed
2025-08-08 · #2 Doubles · 8.5 · with Lisa Sterbenz
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
4-6, 6-4, 1-0
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