← Search

Aaron Fleming

Sugar City, ID
3.5C year-end 2025
15 matches · 8W–7L · seasons 2025–2026
Bump probability
3.03.54.0lowhigh
Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely.
i
The dashed lines are the edges of your band. The three shaded areas are exactly the three percentages below — area here is the chance of one outcome for you, not a count of players.
3.74
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 9 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 3.0
0%
stay 3.5
100%
up to 4.0
Projected to December: 0% down · 11% stay · 89% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.60. Lower than today’s 3.74 because form regresses — players this far above their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.5 runs from 3.01 to 3.50. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure.
i
scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model. USTA publishes year-end ratings in December, which is when this gets graded against what actually happened.
Where you rank
ID · 3.5
7 of 289
By our estimated rating, not the published level.
i
Aaron is ranked against players at the same level in the same place. The published level is identical for everyone in a band, so it cannot separate them — our estimate can. Groups smaller than five are not ranked at all, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Aaron has played at 3.5, 4.0 across 2 seasons — 1 move up and 0 down.

3.03.54.020252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level2 levels played
4.0
60%
3W–2L · 56.2% of games
4.5
66.7%
4W–2L · 55% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history15 matches
L
2026-07-18 · #1 Doubles · with Mark Kam
−0.015below expectation — took 35% of games against 44% expected
6-2, 7-5
L
2026-07-18 · #2 Doubles · with Mark Kam
−0.007about as expected — took 38% of games against 43% expected
6-2, 7-6
L
2026-07-17 · #1 Doubles · with Mark Kam
−0.020below expectation — took 29% of games against 42% expected
6-4, 6-1
W
Dylan Lucas / David Leechamps
2026-07-17 · #2 Doubles · with Mark Kam
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-1, 6-3
L
2026-06-25 · #1 Singles · 4.0
−0.073below expectation — took 20% of games against 57% expected
6-1, 6-2
W
Hunter Markowski / Aaron Brown
2026-06-16 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Mark Kam
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-2, 6-1
L
2026-06-05 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Mark Kam
−0.050below expectation — took 37% of games against 59% expected
6-3, 6-4
W
N/A
2026-06-02 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Mark Kam
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-0, 6-0
W
Max Ruegner / Ethan Bohney
2026-05-26 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Mark Kam
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-2, 4-6, 1-0
W
Antonio Tahhan / Cory Robertson
2025-08-29 · #2 Doubles · 4.5 · with Mark Kam
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-2, 4-6, 1-0
L
Andrew Hinkson / Riley Salmon
2025-08-21 · #2 Doubles · 4.5 · with Mark Kam
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
7-6, 6-7, 1-0
W
Riley Salmon / Joshua Berry
2025-08-19 · #2 Doubles · 4.5 · with Mark Kam
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-3, 6-4
What an account addsprivate to you

Signing in lets you point an account at your own record and keep things alongside it: notes on individual matches, your racquet and string setup, restring reminders, friendly matches that never reach TennisLink, and a diary of what you changed and what happened after.

None of it is visible to anyone else. Not to other players, not on your public page, not in search. Every private table is scoped to your account at the database level, so it is enforced rather than promised. The public page you are looking at is built from USTA match results and nothing else.

Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.