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Karen Lucey

New Berlin, WI
4.0C year-end 2025
152 matches · 101W–51L · seasons 2022–2026
Bump probability
3.54.04.5lowhigh
Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely.
i
The dashed lines are the edges of your band. The three shaded areas are exactly the three percentages below — area here is the chance of one outcome for you, not a count of players.
3.87
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 22 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 3.5
94%
stay 4.0
6%
up to 4.5
Projected to December: 0% down · 99% stay · 1% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.82. Lower than today’s 3.87 because form regresses — players this far into their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 4.0 runs from 3.51 to 4.00. This rating sits in the upper half of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure.
i
scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model. USTA publishes year-end ratings in December, which is when this gets graded against what actually happened.
Where you rank
WI · 4.0
10 of 75
By our estimated rating, not the published level.
i
Karen is ranked against players at the same level in the same place. The published level is identical for everyone in a band, so it cannot separate them — our estimate can. Groups smaller than five are not ranked at all, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Karen has played at 3.5, 4.0 across 5 seasons — 1 move up and 0 down.

3.03.54.020222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 4.0, Karen has gone from the 2nd to the 99th percentile of players at that level, 2023 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level7 levels played
0.0
0W–3L
not enough matches yet
3.5
80.6%
29W–7L · 64.1% of games
4.0
52.6%
20W–18L · 50.5% of games
4.5
57.1%
8W–6L · 57.2% of games
7.0
92.9%
13W–1L · 74.1% of games
7.5
76%
19W–6L · 61.4% of games
8.0
66.7%
6W–3L · 60.7% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history152 matches
W
Patricia Wille / Anne Sanders
2026-08-03 · #3 Doubles · 8.0 · with Lynn Landry
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-1, 6-3
W
Jill Federspill / Tracy Ford
2026-07-28 · #2 Doubles · 7.0 · with Gail Thorpe
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-1, 7-6
W
Jennifer Garven / Kerri Lewis
2026-07-23 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Suzanne Thomas
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-0, 6-3
W
2026-07-20 · #3 Doubles · 8.0 · with Dale Sloan
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-0, 6-2
W
2026-07-16 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Merla Borth
+0.038better than expected — took 86% of games against 61% expected
6-1, 6-1
W
Pamela Flores / Rae Krivohlavek
2026-07-14 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Suzanne Thomas
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-4, 5-7, 1-0
W
N/A
2026-07-09 · #4 Doubles · 4.0 · with Jennifer Achuck
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-0, 6-0
W
Sally Pallan / Karen Schmidt
2026-07-02 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Merla Borth
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-0, 6-1
W
2026-06-30 · #2 Doubles · 7.0 · with Gail Thorpe
+0.001better than expected — took 80% of games against 70% expected
6-1, 6-2
L
2026-06-25 · #4 Doubles · 4.0 · with Suzanne Thomas
+0.013about as expected — took 40% of games against 37% expected
6-4, 6-4
W
2026-06-23 · #3 Doubles · 7.0 · with Gail Thorpe
+0.023better than expected — took 86% of games against 66% expected
6-1, 6-1
W
Julie Borjon / Nicole Dermer
2026-06-18 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Sara Feider
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-1, 6-1
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.