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Adam Shinomiya

Portland, OR
4.5C year-end 2025
24 matches · 10W–14L · seasons 20242026
Bump probability
4.04.55.0lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

4.28
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 9 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 4.0
100%
stay 4.5
0%
up to 5.0

A 4.5 runs from 4.01 to 4.50. This rating sits in the middle of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Portland · 4.5
14 of 119
OR · 4.5
21 of 226

Adam is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Teams6 teams · 2019–2026
N OR-WHRC-Fjeldsted
2026 Mixed 18 & Over · 9.0 Mixed
2026
NOR-WHRC-Fjeldsted
2026 Adult 18 & Over · 4.5 Men
2026
LOTC-Sterling/Vaikuntam
2025 Mixed 18 & Over · 9.0 Mixed
2025
MPRC-Burcham
2025 Adult 18 & Over · 4.5 Men
2025
WHRC-Dusicka
2024 Adult 18 & Over · 5.0 Men
2024
THPRD-Adcock/Soiffer
2019 Mixed 18 & Over · 8.0 Mixed
2019
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Adam has been 4.5 for all 3 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the middle of the band to the top.

4.04.5202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 4.5, Adam has gone from the 66th to the 92nd percentile of players at that level, 2025 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level3 levels played
4.5
72.7%
8W–3L · 58.5% of games
5.0
20%
1W–4L · 33% of games
9.0mixed
16.7%
1W–5L · 33% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history24 matches
L
Ben Whitsonchamps
2026-06-20 · NOR-WHRC-Fjeldsted · #1 Singles
0.006about as expected — took 44% of games against 46% expected
2-6, 6-1, 1-0
W
2026-06-14 · NOR-WHRC-Fjeldsted · #1 Singles · 4.5
0.020about as expected — took 63% of games against 67% expected
6-4, 6-3
W
2026-06-05 · NOR-WHRC-Fjeldsted · #1 Singles · 4.5
+0.009better than expected — took 65% of games against 59% expected
7-6, 6-1
W
Kyle Kinderknecht
2026-05-24 · NOR-WHRC-Fjeldsted · #1 Singles · 4.5
+0.032better than expected — took 71% of games against 53% expected
6-1, 6-4
W
Ryley Schultz
2026-04-25 · NOR-WHRC-Fjeldsted · #1 Singles · 4.5
+0.041better than expected — took 67% of games against 47% expected
6-4, 6-2
W
2026-04-04 · NOR-WHRC-Fjeldsted · #2 Singles · 4.5
+0.001about as expected — took 53% of games against 53% expected
3-6, 6-3, 1-0
L
2025-12-14 · NOR-WHRC-Fjeldsted · #2 Doubles · with Alyssa Mah
0.068below expectation — took 20% of games against 55% expected
6-1, 6-2
W
Carlos Andres Gomez Jimenez / Rebecca Yumixed
2025-11-29 · N OR-WHRC-Fjeldsted · #3 Doubles · 9.0 · with Yuko Hopman
+0.000about as expected — took 67% of games against 66% expected
6-2, 6-4
L
Ryan Chin / Lindsey Kahlermixed
2025-11-22 · N OR-WHRC-Fjeldsted · #2 Doubles · 9.0 · with Alyssa Mah
+0.000below expectation — took 20% of games against 59% expected
6-2, 6-1
W
N/A
2025-06-15 · MPRC-Burcham · #1 Singles · 4.5
0.121about as expected — took 100% of games against 96% expected
6-0, 6-0
L
Ariel Gomez / Marshall Zhang
2025-06-08 · MPRC-Burcham · #2 Doubles · 4.5 · with Josh Williams
0.063below expectation — took 33% of games against 61% expected
6-3, 6-3
W
2025-05-30 · MPRC-Burcham · #2 Doubles · 4.5 · with Josh Williams
+0.020better than expected — took 71% of games against 58% expected
6-4, 6-1
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.