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August Carow

Seattle, WA
4.5C year-end 2025
61 matches · 36W–25L · seasons 20202026
Bump probability
4.04.55.0lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.97
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 4 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
63%
down to 4.0
37%
stay 4.5
0%
up to 5.0
Projected to December: 39% down · 61% stay · 0% up, from a year-end estimate of 4.02. Higher than today’s 3.97 because players this far below their band have historically finished nearer the middle of it.

A 4.5 runs from 4.01 to 4.50. This rating sits in the bottom of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Seattle · 4.5
75 of 103
WA · 4.5
272 of 364

August is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

August has played at 4.0, 3.5, 4.5 across 7 seasons — 2 moves up and 1 down.

3.03.54.04.52020202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history. The smaller, faded points — 2021, 2024, 2026 — rest on fewer than 5 matches, where the estimate is mostly the level the player was entered at rather than anything they did on court. Read the shape, not the value.

How you rank at your level
At 4.0, August has gone from the 81st to the 62nd percentile of players at that level, 2022 to 2023.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level4 levels played
3.5
100%
5W–0L · 70.6% of games
4.0
52.2%
12W–11L · 51.3% of games
4.5
42.9%
6W–8L · 45.2% of games
8.0mixed
33.3%
2W–4L · 43% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history61 matches
L
Kelly Nolan / Eryn Muetzel
2026-05-30 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Lexie Miller
+0.015about as expected — took 32% of games against 32% expected
6-1, 7-5
W
Kenna Canaan / Marissa Encarnacion
2026-05-17 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Molly Klein
+0.047better than expected — took 67% of games against 44% expected
6-4, 6-2
W
2026-05-01 · #2 Singles · 4.5
0.021below expectation — took 52% of games against 61% expected
4-6, 6-4, 1-0
L
Ruofei Shuang
2026-04-18 · #2 Singles · 4.5
0.037below expectation — took 29% of games against 49% expected
6-2, 6-3
L
Margaux Steele
2025-06-01 · #2 Singles · 4.5
0.035below expectation — took 25% of games against 45% expected
6-2, 6-2
L
Julie Hansen / Christine Yang
2025-05-31 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Alicia Miller
0.026below expectation — took 35% of games against 49% expected
6-0, 6-7, 1-0
W
2025-05-04 · #2 Doubles · 4.5 · with Alicia Miller
+0.031better than expected — took 65% of games against 49% expected
7-5, 6-2
W
2025-05-03 · #2 Doubles · 4.5 · with Kyri Khouri
0.015about as expected — took 80% of games against 75% expected
6-3, 6-0
W
Tonya Whitlock / Gretchen Weaver
2025-04-06 · #2 Doubles · 4.5 · with Kyri Khouri
+0.034better than expected — took 57% of games against 42% expected
6-4, 7-6
L
2025-03-28 · #3 Doubles · 4.5 · with Christine Elling
0.003below expectation — took 20% of games against 31% expected
6-1, 6-2
L
2024-05-26 · #2 Doubles · 4.5 · with Alicia Miller
+0.029better than expected — took 39% of games against 31% expected
6-1, 4-6, 1-0
W
Stephanie Johnson / Annelise Anderson
2024-04-28 · #2 Doubles · 4.5 · with Brooke Miller
+0.058better than expected — took 53% of games against 33% expected
6-2, 2-6, 1-0
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.