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Jason Smith

Newcastle, WA
3.5C year-end 2025
39 matches · 24W–15L · seasons 2024–2026
Bump probability
3.03.54.0lowhigh
Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely.
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The dashed lines are the edges of your band. The three shaded areas are exactly the three percentages below — area here is the chance of one outcome for you, not a count of players.
3.49
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 22 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 3.0
57%
stay 3.5
43%
up to 4.0
Projected to December: 0% down · 88% stay · 12% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.41. Lower than today’s 3.49 because form regresses — players this far into their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.5 runs from 3.01 to 3.50. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure.
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scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model. USTA publishes year-end ratings in December, which is when this gets graded against what actually happened.
Where you rank
Newcastle · 3.5
1 of 14
WA · 3.5
130 of 1684
By our estimated rating, not the published level.
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Jason is ranked against players at the same level in the same place. The published level is identical for everyone in a band, so it cannot separate them — our estimate can. Groups smaller than five are not ranked at all, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Jason has been a steady 3.5 across all 3 seasons on record.

3.03.5202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.5, Jason has gone from the 33rd to the 64th percentile of players at that level, 2024 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level2 levels played
3.5
63.3%
19W–11L · 52.2% of games
7.0mixed
62.5%
5W–3L · 55.8% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history39 matches
L
Nathan Salmanchamps
2026-06-14 · #2 Singles
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-1, 6-4
W
2026-06-05 · #2 Singles · 3.5
−0.071below expectation — took 48% of games against 74% expected
7-5, 2-6, 1-0
W
James Thomas
2026-05-31 · #2 Singles · 3.5
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
5-7, 6-3, 1-0
W
2026-05-22 · #2 Singles · 3.5
+0.021better than expected — took 58% of games against 48% expected
4-6, 6-2, 1-0
W
2026-05-16 · #2 Singles · 3.5
−0.041about as expected — took 80% of games against 85% expected
6-2, 6-1
W
Chau Nguyen / Jaesang Yoo
2026-05-09 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Dennis van Doorn
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-0, 6-3
L
Martin Krimmel / Niket Thakkar
2026-04-19 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Mohamed Azdamou
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
2-6, 6-1, 1-0
W
2026-04-11 · #1 Singles · 3.5
+0.022better than expected — took 75% of games against 60% expected
6-4, 6-0
W
Armando Berdiel
2026-03-28 · #2 Singles · 3.5
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
4-6, 6-2, 1-0
W
Joseph Allison / John Suk
2026-03-07 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Chaz Pangelinan
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-3, 6-4
L
2026-02-21 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Chaz Pangelinan
−0.005about as expected — took 45% of games against 47% expected
6-3, 5-7, 1-0
W
2026-02-13 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Hardik Dalal
+0.009better than expected — took 63% of games against 57% expected
6-3, 6-4
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.