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Lindsey Nelson

Renton, WA
3.0C year-end 2025
84 matches · 55W–29L · seasons 20232026
Bump probability
2.53.03.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.02
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 38 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 2.5
42%
stay 3.0
58%
up to 3.5
Projected to December: 0% down · 81% stay · 19% up, from a year-end estimate of 2.93. Lower than today’s 3.02 because form regresses — players this far above their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.0 runs from 2.51 to 3.00. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Renton · 3.0
5 of 24
WA · 3.0
322 of 1529

Lindsey is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Lindsey has played at 2.5, 3.0 across 3 seasons — 1 move up and 0 down.

2.02.53.0202320252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history. The smaller, faded points — 2023 — rest on fewer than 5 matches, where the estimate is mostly the level the player was entered at rather than anything they did on court. Read the shape, not the value.

How you rank at your level
At 3.0, Lindsey has gone from the 75th to the 77th percentile of players at that level, 2025 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level7 levels played
0.0
87.5%
7W–1L · 64% of games
2.5
1W–1L
not enough matches yet
3.0
64.3%
27W–15L · 54.9% of games
3.5
73.3%
11W–4L · 56.6% of games
3.0mixed
2W–0L
not enough matches yet
6.0mixed
45.5%
5W–6L · 47.8% of games
7.0mixed
1W–1L
not enough matches yet

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history84 matches
W
2026-07-28 · #1 Female Singles · 0.0
0.007about as expected — took 55% of games against 57% expected
6-5
W
2026-07-21 · #1 Female Doubles · 0.0 · with Melissa Scott
+0.025better than expected — took 75% of games against 59% expected
6-2
W
Jiayi Lin / Sheila Wang
2026-07-14 · #1 Female Doubles · 0.0 · with Annika Andrews
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-4
W
2026-07-13 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Lindsey McCallum
0.010about as expected — took 52% of games against 57% expected
6-4, 5-6
W
2026-07-01 · #1 Singles · 3.5
+0.013better than expected — took 69% of games against 60% expected
6-2, 5-3
W
Cynthia Wang
2026-06-21 · #1 Singles · 3.5
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-3, 4-5
L
2026-06-16 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Natalie Banks-Mendez
0.047below expectation — took 45% of games against 63% expected
6-4, 5-5
L
Andrea Haines / Hillary Higginschamps
2026-06-14 · #2 Doubles · with Sarah Jaquet
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-3, 7-6
W
2026-06-11 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Lindsey McCallum
+0.028better than expected — took 71% of games against 55% expected
6-2, 6-3
W
Ann Trivett
2026-06-02 · #2 Singles · 3.0
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-4, 6-3
L
2026-05-30 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Carolina DeHaan
0.015below expectation — took 29% of games against 40% expected
6-1, 6-4
W
2026-05-29 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Stacy Mathers
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-3, 6-3
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.