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Missy Lukin

Carlsbad, CA
4.0C year-end 2025
30 matches · 18W–12L · seasons 20232026
Bump probability
3.54.04.5lowhigh
Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely.
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The dashed lines are the edges of your band. The three shaded areas are exactly the three percentages below — area here is the chance of one outcome for you, not a count of players.
3.86
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 4 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 3.5
96%
stay 4.0
4%
up to 4.5
Projected to December: 0% down · 99% stay · 1% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.81. Lower than today’s 3.86 because form regresses — players this far into their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 4.0 runs from 3.51 to 4.00. This rating sits in the upper half of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure.
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scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model. USTA publishes year-end ratings in December, which is when this gets graded against what actually happened.
Where you rank
Carlsbad · 4.0
2 of 19
CA · 4.0
63 of 259
By our estimated rating, not the published level.
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Missy is ranked against players at the same level in the same place. The published level is identical for everyone in a band, so it cannot separate them — our estimate can. Groups smaller than five are not ranked at all, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Missy has been a steady 4.0 across all 4 seasons on record.

3.54.02023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history. The smaller, faded points — 2026 — rest on fewer than 5 matches, where the estimate is mostly the level the player was entered at rather than anything they did on court. Read the shape, not the value.

How you rank at your level
At 4.0, Missy has gone from the 70th to the 69th percentile of players at that level, 2023 to 2024.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level4 levels played
4.0
69.6%
16W–7L · 56.9% of games
5.0
1W–0L
not enough matches yet
7.5mixed
0W–1L
not enough matches yet
8.0mixed
20%
1W–4L · 40.2% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history30 matches
W
Lisa Ferson / Amie Destremps
2026-08-03 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Lauren Conroy
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-1, 6-1
W
2026-07-21 · #3 Doubles · 5.0 · with Terry Rees
0.038below expectation — took 56% of games against 68% expected
3-6, 6-2, 1-0
W
2026-07-20 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Jill Kenny
+0.007about as expected — took 56% of games against 52% expected
3-6, 6-2, 1-0
W
Amy Huber / Christie Jackson
2026-06-29 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Lauren Conroy
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-2, 6-0
L
Chae Chang / Sun Leemixed
2025-09-13 · #2 Doubles · 7.5 · with Ken Moran
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
7-6, 6-3
L
Kerri Reed / Phung Yammixed
2025-08-16 · #2 Doubles · 8.0 · with Dave Zulick
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
6-1, 4-6, 1-0
W
Erin Holl / Tim Hollmixed
2025-07-26 · #2 Doubles · 8.0 · with David Napper
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
2-6, 6-2, 1-0
L
Tim MacDonald / Shelly Donnellymixed
2025-07-19 · #1 Doubles · 8.0 · with Scott Guiltner
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
6-2, 6-4
L
2025-07-05 · #2 Doubles · 8.0 · with Dave Zulick
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
6-1, 6-2
L
Steve Betterly / Dana Moskowitzmixed
2025-06-14 · #3 Doubles · 8.0 · with Dave Zulick
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
2-6, 6-4, 1-0
W
Jenelle Aris / Michall Saccuzzo
2025-05-23 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Susan Gentry
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
7-5, 6-4
L
Joanne Florin / Robin Seay
2025-05-09 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Jennifer Graber
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
0-6, 6-3, 1-0
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.