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Dai Ichikawa

Seattle, WA
4.0C year-end 2025
118 matches · 72W–46L · seasons 20192026
Bump probability
3.54.04.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.57
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 20 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
18%
down to 3.5
82%
stay 4.0
0%
up to 4.5
Projected to December: 11% down · 89% stay · 0% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.60. Higher than today’s 3.57 because players this far below their band have historically finished nearer the middle of it.

A 4.0 runs from 3.51 to 4.00. This rating sits in the bottom of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Seattle · 4.0
138 of 186
WA · 4.0
606 of 782

Dai is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Dai has been 4.0 for all 8 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the bottom of the band to the middle.

3.54.020192020202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history. The smaller, faded points — 2025 — rest on fewer than 5 matches, where the estimate is mostly the level the player was entered at rather than anything they did on court. Read the shape, not the value.

How you rank at your level
At 4.0, Dai has gone from the 65th to the 42nd percentile of players at that level, 2020 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level7 levels played
3.5
83.3%
10W–2L · 61.5% of games
4.0
60%
39W–26L · 55.1% of games
4.5
0W–1L
not enough matches yet
7.0
50%
2W–2L · 50% of games
8.0
0W–2L
not enough matches yet
7.0mixed
61.1%
11W–7L · 56.6% of games
8.0mixed
2W–1L
not enough matches yet

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history118 matches
L
J Michael Diaz / Stephen Liang
2026-06-06 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Lynn Maung
0.016below expectation — took 43% of games against 51% expected
7-6, 6-4
W
Kenneth Newton / Michael Gostintsev
2026-05-31 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Cuong Ngo
+0.010better than expected — took 62% of games against 56% expected
7-5, 6-3
L
2026-05-16 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Lynn Maung
+0.003about as expected — took 37% of games against 39% expected
6-4, 6-3
W
2026-05-10 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Will Millar
0.042below expectation — took 47% of games against 65% expected
1-6, 6-3, 1-0
W
Akshay Hathwar / Atreya Laxman
2026-04-25 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Lynn Maung
+0.062better than expected — took 75% of games against 44% expected
6-2, 6-2
L
Seamus Miller / Dirk Antonczyk
2026-03-29 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Lynn Maung
0.025below expectation — took 32% of games against 45% expected
6-1, 7-5
W
2026-03-21 · #3 Doubles · with Cuong Ngo
+0.008about as expected — took 55% of games against 51% expected
5-7, 6-3, 1-0
W
Peter Wachter / Chris Blakeslee
2026-03-14 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Cuong Ngo
+0.035better than expected — took 80% of games against 59% expected
6-1, 6-2
W
Mark Pavlovic / Marc Reguera
2026-02-21 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Cuong Ngo
+0.031better than expected — took 63% of games against 48% expected
6-3, 6-4
L
2026-02-01 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Marco Fortaleza
0.043below expectation — took 25% of games against 48% expected
6-1, 6-3
L
Ullas Upendran / Nipuna Gunasekera
2026-01-25 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Ricardo Carlos
+0.021better than expected — took 48% of games against 39% expected
5-7, 7-5, 1-0
W
2026-01-18 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Marco Fortaleza
+0.047better than expected — took 67% of games against 44% expected
6-4, 6-2
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.