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Zachary Ferguson

West Linn, OR
4.0C year-end 2025
25 matches · 9W–16L · seasons 20202026
Bump probability
3.54.04.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.69
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 3 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
1%
down to 3.5
99%
stay 4.0
0%
up to 4.5

A 4.0 runs from 3.51 to 4.00. This rating sits in the lower half of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
West Linn · 4.0
4 of 11
OR · 4.0
246 of 498

Zachary is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Teams9 teams · 2020–2026
PT&E/SJRC-Lee/Ohno
2026 Adult 18 & Over · 4.0 Men
2026
PT&E/SJRC-Lee
2025 Mixed 18 & Over · 8.0 Mixed
2025
PT&E/SJRC-Lee
2025 Adult 18 & Over · 4.0 Men
2025
PT&E/SJRC-Lee/Velasco
2024 Adult 18 & Over · 4.0 Men
2024
SD 4.5 UCRC-Barnes/ Dang
2022 So Cal Fall Doubles - Sdnc · SDNC/ SD Men 4.5
2022
SD Barnes TC/ Houldin (5@ 2:30PM)
2022 Adult 18 & Over Spring - Sdnc · SDNC/ SD Combined - Men - 4.5
2022
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Zachary has played at 4.0, 4.5 across 6 seasons — 1 move up and 1 down.

3.54.04.5202020212022202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history. The smaller, faded points — 2020, 2024, 2025, 2026 — rest on fewer than 5 matches, where the estimate is mostly the level the player was entered at rather than anything they did on court. Read the shape, not the value.

How you rank at your level

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level3 levels played
4.0
53.3%
8W–7L · 44.4% of games
4.5
11.1%
1W–8L · 37.6% of games
8.0mixed
0W–1L
not enough matches yet

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history25 matches
L
2026-06-06 · PT&E/SJRC-Lee/Ohno · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Nijimaru Ohno
0.009about as expected — took 43% of games against 47% expected
6-2, 5-7, 1-0
W
2026-04-25 · PT&E/SJRC-Lee/Ohno · #1 Singles · 4.0
+0.049better than expected — took 67% of games against 43% expected
6-2, 6-4
L
2026-04-05 · PT&E/SJRC-Lee/Ohno · #1 Singles · 4.0
0.039below expectation — took 32% of games against 52% expected
7-6, 6-0
W
2025-06-22 · PT&E/SJRC-Lee · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Steven Davis
0.010about as expected — took 60% of games against 62% expected
6-4, 6-4
W
2025-06-13 · PT&E/SJRC-Lee · #1 Singles · 4.0
+0.018better than expected — took 52% of games against 46% expected
4-6, 6-4, 1-0
L
2025-06-07 · PT&E/SJRC-Lee · #2 Singles · 4.0
0.017below expectation — took 29% of games against 41% expected
6-4, 6-1
L
2024-10-06 · PT&E/SJRC-Lee · #3 Doubles · 8.0 · with Brianna Hill
+0.000below expectation — took 41% of games against 47% expected
6-4, 7-5
L
Alexander Kahle
2024-02-02 · PT&E/SJRC-Lee/Velasco · #1 Singles · 4.0
0.046below expectation — took 25% of games against 49% expected
6-1, 6-3
L
Dieter Steinmetz / Samuel Conway
2022-09-25 · #3 Doubles · 4.5 · with Andrew Tek
+0.016better than expected — took 45% of games against 39% expected
6-3, 4-6, 1-0
L
Sakda Kethdy / Hoang Kim Truong
2022-08-28 · #2 Doubles · 4.5 · with Scott Atwood
0.004about as expected — took 37% of games against 41% expected
6-3, 6-4
W
Patrick Coughlin / Satish Jayanthi
2022-08-21 · #2 Doubles · 4.5 · with Scott Atwood
+0.055better than expected — took 65% of games against 40% expected
7-6, 6-1
L
Jed Galan / Charles Hamori
2022-06-26 · #2 Doubles · 4.5 · with Khoa Nguyen
+0.026about as expected — took 29% of games against 27% expected
6-4, 6-1
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.