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Ken Ahlstrom

Silverdale, WA
4.0C year-end 2025
138 matches · 81W–57L · seasons 20192026
Bump probability
3.54.04.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.73
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 25 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 3.5
100%
stay 4.0
0%
up to 4.5

A 4.0 runs from 3.51 to 4.00. This rating sits in the middle of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
WA · 4.0
281 of 782

Ken is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Ken has played at 3.5, 4.0 across 6 seasons — 1 move up and 0 down.

3.03.54.0202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 4.0, Ken has gone from the 99th to the 83rd percentile of players at that level, 2022 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level4 levels played
3.5
90%
9W–1L · 61.6% of games
4.0
65.4%
34W–18L · 56.6% of games
7.0mixed
60%
12W–8L · 54.7% of games
8.0mixed
51.2%
21W–20L · 50.1% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history138 matches
L
Tami Davis / Brian Johnsonmixed
2026-07-26 · #2 Doubles · 8.0 · with Jill Wallen
+0.000about as expected — took 38% of games against 37% expected
6-3, 7-5
L
2026-07-11 · #1 Doubles · 8.0 · with Mayumi Barber
+0.000below expectation — took 33% of games against 40% expected
6-2, 6-4
L
2026-07-05 · #2 Doubles · 8.0 · with Kathleen Letourneau
+0.000below expectation — took 25% of games against 37% expected
6-1, 6-3
W
2026-06-14 · #1 Doubles · 8.0 · with Hana Farr
+0.000about as expected — took 55% of games against 58% expected
6-3, 4-6, 1-0
W
N/A
2026-06-13 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Tauseef Badar
0.031better than expected — took 100% of games against 95% expected
6-0, 6-0
W
Reilly Gahm / Nicolas Dimitri Gianne
2026-05-02 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Stu Teel
+0.032better than expected — took 67% of games against 50% expected
6-3, 6-3
L
John Barbieri / Steven Luong
2026-04-26 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Tauseef Badar
+0.017better than expected — took 53% of games against 44% expected
2-6, 6-4, 1-0
L
Vinh Nguyen / Khoa Nguyen
2026-04-19 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Stu Teel
0.072below expectation — took 0% of games against 42% expected
6-0, 6-0
W
Mark Hayter / Scott Styer
2026-03-28 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Stu Teel
+0.031better than expected — took 62% of games against 47% expected
7-5, 6-3
W
N/A
2026-03-15 · #1 Singles · 4.0
0.070about as expected — took 100% of games against 96% expected
6-0, 6-0
W
2026-03-08 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Stu Teel
+0.021better than expected — took 58% of games against 48% expected
6-2, 4-6, 1-0
W
Kyle Roberts / Jackson Yang
2026-03-07 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Stu Teel
+0.009better than expected — took 67% of games against 60% expected
6-3, 6-3
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.