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Jessica Li

Salem, OR
3.5C year-end 2025
39 matches · 28W–11L · seasons 20242026
Bump probability
3.03.54.0lowhigh
Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely.
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The dashed lines are the edges of your band. The three shaded areas are exactly the three percentages below — area here is the chance of one outcome for you, not a count of players.
3.31
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 15 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 3.0
99%
stay 3.5
1%
up to 4.0

A 3.5 runs from 3.01 to 3.50. This rating sits in the upper half of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure.
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scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model. USTA publishes year-end ratings in December, which is when this gets graded against what actually happened.
Where you rank
Salem · 3.5
11 of 17
OR · 3.5
299 of 859
By our estimated rating, not the published level.
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Jessica is ranked against players at the same level in the same place. The published level is identical for everyone in a band, so it cannot separate them — our estimate can. Groups smaller than five are not ranked at all, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Jessica has been 3.5 for all 3 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the bottom of the band to the middle.

3.03.5202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 7.0, Jessica has gone from the 33rd to the 59th percentile of players at that level, 2025 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level5 levels played
3.0
2W–0L
not enough matches yet
3.5
60%
6W–4L · 57.3% of games
6.0
100%
9W–0L · 81.8% of games
7.0
50%
5W–5L · 51.2% of games
7.0mixed
75%
3W–1L · 60.9% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history39 matches
W
2026-07-23 · #1 Singles · 3.5
0.016better than expected — took 86% of games against 79% expected
6-2, 6-0
L
2026-06-14 · #1 Singles · 3.5
+0.004about as expected — took 42% of games against 41% expected
6-4, 5-4
W
2026-05-29 · #1 Singles · 3.5
0.010about as expected — took 63% of games against 64% expected
6-3, 6-4
W
2026-04-19 · #1 Singles · 3.5
+0.047better than expected — took 71% of games against 47% expected
6-4, 6-1
L
2026-04-05 · #1 Singles · 3.5
+0.030about as expected — took 29% of games against 26% expected
6-1, 6-4
W
2026-02-21 · #1 Female Singles · 7.0
+0.171better than expected — took 86% of games against 29% expected
6-1
W
2026-02-14 · #1 Female Singles · 7.0
0.032below expectation — took 67% of games against 73% expected
6-3
W
2026-02-01 · #1 Female Singles · 6.0
+0.024better than expected — took 100% of games against 74% expected
6-0
W
2026-01-30 · #1 Female Singles · 6.0
0.086below expectation — took 75% of games against 96% expected
6-2
L
2026-01-25 · #2 Mixed Doubles · 7.0 · with Anthony Hoang
+0.008about as expected — took 40% of games against 39% expected
6-4
W
2026-01-23 · #1 Female Singles · 6.0
+0.038better than expected — took 86% of games against 61% expected
6-1
L
Brittany Donnelly
2026-01-09 · #1 Female Singles · 7.0
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-1
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