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Ales Novak

Redmond, WA
3.0C year-end 2025
73 matches · 36W–37L · seasons 2020–2026
Bump probability
2.53.03.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

2.91
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 17 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 2.5
88%
stay 3.0
12%
up to 3.5
Projected to December: 0% down · 97% stay · 3% up, from a year-end estimate of 2.85. Lower than today’s 2.91 because form regresses — players this far into their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.0 runs from 2.51 to 3.00. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Redmond · 3.0
13 of 23
WA · 3.0
482 of 960

Ales is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Ales has been a steady 3.0 across all 6 seasons on record.

2.53.0202020222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.0, Ales has gone from the 64th to the 26th percentile of players at that level, 2020 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level5 levels played
3.0
48.8%
21W–22L · 48.1% of games
3.5
33.3%
2W–4L · 42.7% of games
6.0
20%
1W–4L · 42% of games
6.0mixed
76.9%
10W–3L · 61.8% of games
7.0mixed
0W–2L
not enough matches yet

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history73 matches
L
2026-06-01 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Davis Feng
+0.029better than expected — took 38% of games against 31% expected
7-5, 6-3
W
Stephen Daniel / Mark Litton
2026-05-09 · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with Davis Feng
−0.006about as expected — took 50% of games against 54% expected
1-1
W
Chester Weir
2026-05-03 · #1 Singles · 3.0
+0.019better than expected — took 67% of games against 56% expected
6-4, 6-2
L
Vaidy Krishnan / Bill Patz
2026-04-18 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Jacob Varghese
−0.023below expectation — took 40% of games against 51% expected
6-3, 6-5
L
Le Zhang / Aron Su
2026-03-28 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Davis Feng
+0.046better than expected — took 43% of games against 29% expected
7-5, 6-5
L
Corey Klein
2026-03-08 · #1 Singles · 3.0
−0.060below expectation — took 29% of games against 58% expected
6-2, 6-3
W
2026-02-22 · #1 Singles · 3.0
+0.004about as expected — took 52% of games against 51% expected
6-4, 5-7, 1-0
L
2026-02-07 · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with Clement Ifrim
−0.022below expectation — took 46% of games against 55% expected
6-4, 6-7, 1-0
W
2026-01-30 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Davis Feng
+0.063better than expected — took 65% of games against 38% expected
6-2, 7-5
W
Remi Dargent / Peter Mason
2026-01-25 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Davis Feng
+0.012about as expected — took 50% of games against 46% expected
7-6, 3-4
L
2026-01-18 · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with Clement Ifrim
+0.001below expectation — took 29% of games against 35% expected
6-3, 6-2
L
2026-01-17 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Davis Feng
−0.024below expectation — took 8% of games against 31% expected
6-1, 6-0
What an account addsprivate to you

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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.