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Matson Kelley

Kula, HI
4.0C year-end 2025
106 matches · 79W–27L · seasons 20232026
Bump probability
3.54.04.5lowhigh
Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely.
i
The dashed lines are the edges of your band. The three shaded areas are exactly the three percentages below — area here is the chance of one outcome for you, not a count of players.
4.04
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 17 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 3.5
31%
stay 4.0
69%
up to 4.5
Projected to December: 0% down · 75% stay · 25% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.95. Lower than today’s 4.04 because form regresses — players this far above their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 4.0 runs from 3.51 to 4.00. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure.
i
scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model. USTA publishes year-end ratings in December, which is when this gets graded against what actually happened.
Where you rank
HI · 4.0
1 of 30
By our estimated rating, not the published level.
i
Matson is ranked against players at the same level in the same place. The published level is identical for everyone in a band, so it cannot separate them — our estimate can. Groups smaller than five are not ranked at all, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Matson has been 4.0 for all 4 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the middle of the band to the top.

3.54.02023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 4.0, Matson has gone from the 73rd to the 88th percentile of players at that level, 2024 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level6 levels played
4.0
70.8%
17W–7L · 60.4% of games
6.0
100%
5W–0L · 90.9% of games
7.0
100%
4W–0L · 78.3% of games
8.0
54.5%
6W–5L · 55.7% of games
7.0mixed
82.4%
14W–3L · 62.9% of games
8.0mixed
87%
20W–3L · 70.6% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history106 matches
W
2026-08-02 · #2 Doubles · 8.0 · with Ruby Matsui
+0.000about as expected — took 62% of games against 60% expected
7-5, 6-3
W
Nicholas Clemons / shar martinmixed
2026-07-11 · #1 Doubles · 7.0 · with Jennifer Kelley
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
6-1, 6-3
W
2026-07-11 · #1 Doubles · 8.0 · with Aiko da Silva
+0.000about as expected — took 68% of games against 69% expected
6-1, 7-5
W
2026-06-18 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Benjamin Falit
+0.003about as expected — took 62% of games against 59% expected
7-5, 6-3
W
Mark Tristan Virgino / Andrew Yoon
2026-05-17 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Brad Helman
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
7-6, 6-4
W
Reuben Dela Cruz / Jane Sakakiharamixed
2026-04-12 · #3 Doubles · 7.0 · with Allison Kermode
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
6-3, 6-2
W
William Jay / shar martinmixed
2026-04-11 · #2 Doubles · 8.0 · with Aiko da Silva
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
6-1, 6-3
W
Karla Nutt / Tom Keirnesmixed
2026-04-04 · #2 Doubles · 7.0 · with Melissa Padillla
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
3-6, 6-1, 1-0
L
Mark Tristan Virgino / Breanna Alviedomixed
2026-03-28 · #1 Doubles · 7.0 · with Sabrina Jardine
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
6-4, 6-4
W
Kandy Grantz / Phillip Petersonmixed
2026-03-08 · #1 Doubles · 8.0 · with Aiko da Silva
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
6-2, 7-5
W
Rachael Barnard / Kelly Tobitamixed
2026-03-01 · #1 Doubles · 7.0 · with Erika Varcak
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
6-2, 6-4
W
Edgar Cordero / Trudi Vierramixed
2026-02-28 · #2 Doubles · 8.0 · with Jill Kanahele
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
6-2, 6-0
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.