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Adriana Lopes

Shoreline, WA
2.5C year-end 2025
115 matches · 60W–55L · seasons 20212026
Bump probability
2.02.53.0lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

2.68
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 14 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 2.0
1%
stay 2.5
99%
up to 3.0
Projected to December: 0% down · 25% stay · 75% up, from a year-end estimate of 2.55. Lower than today’s 2.68 because form regresses — players this far above their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 2.5 runs from 2.01 to 2.50. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
WA · 2.5
11 of 81

Adriana is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Adriana has been 2.5 for all 6 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the middle of the band to the top.

2.02.5202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history. The smaller, faded points — 2021 — rest on fewer than 5 matches, where the estimate is mostly the level the player was entered at rather than anything they did on court. Read the shape, not the value.

How you rank at your level
At 2.5, Adriana has gone from the 24th to the 89th percentile of players at that level, 2022 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level3 levels played
2.5
57.3%
43W–32L · 55.2% of games
3.0
22.7%
5W–17L · 41.8% of games
6.0mixed
70.6%
12W–5L · 58.1% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history115 matches
L
Annika Andrews / Michelle Chattin
2026-07-07 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Natalia Kuznetsova
+0.021about as expected — took 35% of games against 32% expected
7-5, 6-2
L
CarolBeth DePoy / Cara Perla
2026-07-02 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Natalia Kuznetsova
+0.065better than expected — took 48% of games against 25% expected
7-6, 5-5
L
Sarah Bierlink / Gegi Ward
2026-06-04 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Natalia Kuznetsova
0.029below expectation — took 0% of games against 28% expected
6-0, 6-0
L
Flora Taagen / Cindy Li
2026-05-16 · #1 Doubles · 2.5 · with Meredith Kelly
0.029below expectation — took 50% of games against 60% expected
6-2, 1-6, 1-0
W
Sharon Solie
2026-05-03 · #1 Singles · 2.5
0.015better than expected — took 80% of games against 75% expected
6-2, 6-1
W
Qinjia Hackett
2026-04-10 · #1 Singles · 2.5
0.022about as expected — took 63% of games against 68% expected
6-4, 6-3
W
Rebecca Silverstein
2026-03-29 · #1 Singles · 2.5
+0.011better than expected — took 92% of games against 73% expected
6-1, 6-0
W
Vitida Robinson
2026-03-13 · #1 Singles · 2.5
+0.041better than expected — took 71% of games against 49% expected
6-2, 6-3
W
Tammy Morley
2026-03-07 · #1 Singles · 2.5
0.011better than expected — took 80% of games against 74% expected
6-3, 6-0
W
Nicole Lew / Chanthina Julian
2026-02-07 · #2 Doubles · 2.5 · with Liz Sheffield
+0.065better than expected — took 75% of games against 43% expected
6-3, 6-1
L
Letitia Selk
2026-01-24 · #1 Singles · 2.5
0.080below expectation — took 25% of games against 62% expected
6-3, 6-1
W
2026-01-17 · #1 Singles · 2.5
+0.027better than expected — took 80% of games against 62% expected
6-1, 6-2
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.