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Davis Axtman

Seattle, WA
3.5C year-end 2025
89 matches · 38W–51L · seasons 20232026
Bump probability
3.03.54.0lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.57
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 22 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 3.0
18%
stay 3.5
82%
up to 4.0
Projected to December: 0% down · 64% stay · 36% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.47. Lower than today’s 3.57 because form regresses — players this far above their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.5 runs from 3.01 to 3.50. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Seattle · 3.5
7 of 256
WA · 3.5
31 of 1209

Davis is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Davis has been 3.5 for all 4 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the middle of the band to the top.

3.03.52023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 4.0, Davis has gone from the 41st to the 32nd percentile of players at that level, 2024 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level4 levels played
3.5
46.9%
15W–17L · 51.7% of games
4.0
32.4%
11W–23L · 43.7% of games
7.0mixed
64.3%
9W–5L · 53% of games
8.0mixed
33.3%
2W–4L · 48.2% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history89 matches
L
2026-06-07 · #2 Singles · 4.0
0.043below expectation — took 25% of games against 48% expected
6-4, 6-0
W
Tipu Qureshi / Kevin Chung
2026-05-31 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Marc Stolte
+0.030better than expected — took 80% of games against 60% expected
6-2, 6-1
L
Felix Schuler / Jacob Mann
2026-05-30 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Erik Gunvaldson
0.004below expectation — took 25% of games against 34% expected
6-2, 6-2
W
Stanley Barnes / Wally Euyang
2026-05-24 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Kyle Rutherford
0.009about as expected — took 67% of games against 65% expected
6-3, 6-3
W
Ivan Pare Des / Nomar Mapalo
2026-05-16 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Erik Gunvaldson
+0.030better than expected — took 50% of games against 40% expected
3-6, 6-4, 1-0
W
2026-05-08 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Fred Wurden
+0.024better than expected — took 62% of games against 50% expected
7-5, 6-3
W
Charlton Smith / Troy Brown
2026-04-26 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Jason LeeKeenan
0.006about as expected — took 62% of games against 62% expected
7-5, 6-3
W
Keith Green / Oliver Alcantara
2026-04-12 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Marc Stolte
0.032below expectation — took 53% of games against 65% expected
6-2, 2-6, 1-0
L
Subu Sankara Subramanian / Dirk Antonczyk
2026-04-11 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Kyle Rutherford
0.034below expectation — took 48% of games against 61% expected
5-7, 7-5, 1-0
L
2026-03-22 · #1 Mixed Doubles · with Lauren Kuan
0.019below expectation — took 33% of games against 44% expected
6-3
L
2026-02-20 · #1 Male Singles · 4.0
0.028below expectation — took 33% of games against 48% expected
6-3
W
Kareem Kamel
2026-02-08 · #1 Male Singles · 4.0
+0.036better than expected — took 55% of games against 40% expected
6-5
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