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Jason Lao

Gresham, OR
3.5C year-end 2025
22 matches · 9W–13L · seasons 20242026
Bump probability
3.03.54.0lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.14
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 5 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
4%
down to 3.0
96%
stay 3.5
0%
up to 4.0

A 3.5 runs from 3.01 to 3.50. This rating sits in the lower half of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Gresham · 3.5
8 of 9
OR · 3.5
591 of 735

Jason is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Teams4 teams · 2024–2026
THPRD-Wang
2026 Adult 18 & Over · 3.5 Men
2026
CRRC-Jacobsen/Belott
2025 Coed 18-39 · 7.0 Coed Combo
2025
LOTC-Li
2025 Adult 18 & Over · 3.5 Men
2025
Serve Squad
2024 One Doubles · 3.5 Men
2024
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Jason has been a steady 3.5 across all 3 seasons on record.

3.03.5202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history. The smaller, faded points — 2024 — rest on fewer than 5 matches, where the estimate is mostly the level the player was entered at rather than anything they did on court. Read the shape, not the value.

How you rank at your level
At 3.5, Jason has gone from the 40th to the 9th percentile of players at that level, 2025 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level2 levels played
3.5
50%
9W–9L · 47.2% of games
7.0
0%
0W–4L · 42.9% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history22 matches
L
2026-06-14 · THPRD-Wang · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Derek Wong
0.029below expectation — took 20% of games against 39% expected
6-1, 6-2
W
2026-06-07 · THPRD-Wang · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Dylan Amici
0.014below expectation — took 54% of games against 60% expected
6-4, 6-7, 1-0
W
2026-05-31 · THPRD-Wang · #2 Singles · 3.5
0.002about as expected — took 50% of games against 52% expected
2-6, 6-3, 1-0
L
2026-05-30 · THPRD-Wang · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Derek Wong
0.032below expectation — took 33% of games against 50% expected
6-3, 6-3
L
2026-03-27 · THPRD-Wang · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Wei Li
0.021below expectation — took 25% of games against 40% expected
6-2, 6-2
L
2025-08-12 · #1 Singles · 3.5
0.004about as expected — took 48% of games against 49% expected
6-4, 4-6, 1-0
L
2025-07-31 · #1 Singles · 3.5
+0.033better than expected — took 42% of games against 32% expected
4-6, 6-2, 1-0
W
2025-07-26 · #1 Singles · 3.5
+0.008better than expected — took 65% of games against 59% expected
7-5, 6-2
W
2025-07-24 · #1 Singles · 3.5
0.010below expectation — took 44% of games against 51% expected
6-4, 1-6, 1-0
L
2025-06-22 · LOTC-Li · #2 Singles · 3.5
0.033below expectation — took 20% of games against 41% expected
6-1, 6-2
W
N/A
2025-06-08 · LOTC-Li · #2 Singles · 3.5
+0.027better than expected — took 100% of games against 73% expected
6-0, 6-0
L
2025-06-07 · LOTC-Li · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Eric Matz
0.022below expectation — took 14% of games against 34% expected
6-1, 6-1
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.