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Elliott Hoel

Anchorage, AK
2.5S year-end 2025
13 matches · 3W–10L · seasons 2026–2026
Bump probability
2.02.53.0lowhigh
Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely.
i
The dashed lines are the edges of your band. The three shaded areas are exactly the three percentages below — area here is the chance of one outcome for you, not a count of players.
2.39
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 13 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 2.0
92%
stay 2.5
8%
up to 3.0
Projected to December: 0% down · 98% stay · 2% up, from a year-end estimate of 2.33. Lower than today’s 2.39 because form regresses — players this far into their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 2.5 runs from 2.01 to 2.50. This rating sits in the upper half of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure.
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scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model. USTA publishes year-end ratings in December, which is when this gets graded against what actually happened.
Where you rank
Anchorage · 2.5
8 of 12
AK · 2.5
8 of 12
By our estimated rating, not the published level.
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Elliott is ranked against players at the same level in the same place. The published level is identical for everyone in a band, so it cannot separate them — our estimate can. Groups smaller than five are not ranked at all, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
How you rank at your level

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level4 levels played
0.0
0%
0W–6L · 31.1% of games
2.5
3W–0L
not enough matches yet
0.0mixed
0W–3L
not enough matches yet
6.0mixed
0W–1L
not enough matches yet

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history13 matches
L
2026-07-16 · #1 Doubles · 0.0 · with Irene Zhang
+0.000below expectation — took 8% of games against 29% expected
6-1, 6-0
W
2026-07-14 · #1 Singles · 2.5
−0.008about as expected — took 65% of games against 64% expected
6-2, 7-5
L
2026-06-28 · #1 Doubles · 0.0 · with Irene Zhang
+0.000better than expected — took 43% of games against 20% expected
7-6, 6-4
W
Bram Santoso
2026-06-25 · #1 Singles · 2.5
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-3, 6-1
L
2026-06-12 · #1 Doubles · 0.0 · with Irene Zhang
+0.000below expectation — took 8% of games against 27% expected
6-1, 6-0
W
2026-05-31 · #1 Singles · 2.5
+0.008better than expected — took 75% of games against 65% expected
6-2, 6-2
L
2026-04-04 · #3 Male Doubles · 0.0 · with Eric Jostsons
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
7-5, 6-3
L
2026-03-29 · #3 Male Doubles · 0.0 · with James Foster
−0.010below expectation — took 20% of games against 33% expected
6-1, 6-2
L
2026-03-28 · #3 Male Doubles · 0.0 · with James Foster
−0.014below expectation — took 20% of games against 34% expected
6-1, 6-2
L
2026-02-27 · #2 Doubles · 6.0 · with Christie Wyzykowski
+0.000below expectation — took 20% of games against 35% expected
6-2, 6-1
L
Eric Jostsons / James Robinson
2025-12-14 · #1 Male Doubles · 0.0 · with Aaron Hudson
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
4-3
L
2025-12-13 · #2 Mixed Doubles · 0.0 · with ELIZE Rumley
+0.037better than expected — took 38% of games against 29% expected
5-3
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