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Caroline Shanley

Eugene, OR
4.5S year-end 2025
63 matches · 47W–16L · seasons 2019–2026
Bump probability
4.04.55.0lowhigh
Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely.
i
The dashed lines are the edges of your band. The three shaded areas are exactly the three percentages below — area here is the chance of one outcome for you, not a count of players.
4.02
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 5 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
40%
down to 4.0
60%
stay 4.5
0%
up to 5.0
Projected to December: 24% down · 76% stay · 0% up, from a year-end estimate of 4.06. Higher than today’s 4.02 because players this far below their band have historically finished nearer the middle of it.

A 4.5 runs from 4.01 to 4.50. This rating sits in the bottom of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure.
i
scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model. USTA publishes year-end ratings in December, which is when this gets graded against what actually happened.
Where you rank
Eugene · 4.5
10 of 12
OR · 4.5
163 of 248
By our estimated rating, not the published level.
i
Caroline is ranked against players at the same level in the same place. The published level is identical for everyone in a band, so it cannot separate them — our estimate can. Groups smaller than five are not ranked at all, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Caroline has been 4.5 for all 3 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the bottom of the band to the top.

4.04.5201920202026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 4.5, Caroline has gone from the 85th to the 90th percentile of players at that level, 2019 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level4 levels played
4.5
85%
17W–3L · 61.3% of games
5.0
0W–1L
not enough matches yet
8.0mixed
86.7%
13W–2L · 63.4% of games
9.0mixed
60%
6W–4L · 54.2% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history63 matches
W
N/A
2026-08-02 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Leah Hampton
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-0, 6-0
W
2026-08-01 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Leah Hampton
−0.040below expectation — took 67% of games against 75% expected
6-3, 6-3
W
Kathleen Stevens / Jennifer Sweeney
2026-06-07 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Chris Ramsower-Pearlstein
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
3-6, 7-6, 1-0
L
2026-05-30 · #1 Singles · 4.5
−0.016below expectation — took 50% of games against 55% expected
3-6, 7-5, 1-0
W
Malia Ford / Sophia Miles
2026-03-21 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Leah Hampton
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
7-5, 6-1
W
Erica Ryan / Kristy Paratore
2020-02-22 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Margaret Lara
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-4, 6-2
L
Sharon Bellusci / Sarah Kelly
2020-02-22 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Elise Crum
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
7-5, 7-5
L
Elizabeth Stevens
2020-01-12 · #1 Singles · 5.0
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
4-0
W
Diane Brandt / Jason Bradfordmixed
2019-11-24 · #2 Doubles · 8.0 · with Thomas Jordan
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
7-5, 6-1
L
Robert Stevens / Andrea Cunninghammixed
2019-11-24 · #3 Doubles · 8.0 · with Thomas Jordan
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
6-2, 5-7, 1-0
W
Kevin Carrigan / Mckenzie Hilmermixed
2019-11-17 · #2 Doubles · 9.0 · with Thomas Schaap
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
6-2, 7-6
L
Phillip Lam / Dana Smithmixed
2019-11-17 · #1 Doubles · 9.0 · with Thomas Schaap
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
4-6, 7-6, 1-0
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.