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Molly Carlson

Yakima, WA
3.5C year-end 2025
55 matches · 28W–27L · seasons 2020–2026
Bump probability
3.03.54.0lowhigh
Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely.
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The dashed lines are the edges of your band. The three shaded areas are exactly the three percentages below — area here is the chance of one outcome for you, not a count of players.
3.60
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 16 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 3.0
11%
stay 3.5
89%
up to 4.0
Projected to December: 0% down · 54% stay · 46% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.49. Lower than today’s 3.60 because form regresses — players this far above their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.5 runs from 3.01 to 3.50. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure.
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scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model. USTA publishes year-end ratings in December, which is when this gets graded against what actually happened.
Where you rank
WA · 3.5
28 of 1672
By our estimated rating, not the published level.
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Molly is ranked against players at the same level in the same place. The published level is identical for everyone in a band, so it cannot separate them — our estimate can. Groups smaller than five are not ranked at all, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Molly has been 3.5 for all 5 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the middle of the band to the top.

3.03.520202023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.5, Molly has gone from the 59th to the 78th percentile of players at that level, 2023 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level3 levels played
3.5
66.7%
16W–8L · 55.9% of games
4.0
40%
2W–3L · 47.4% of games
7.0mixed
55.6%
5W–4L · 52.1% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history55 matches
W
2026-08-02 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Megan Fraley
+0.003better than expected — took 75% of games against 66% expected
6-3, 6-1
W
2026-08-01 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Megan Fraley
−0.028about as expected — took 67% of games against 71% expected
6-2, 6-4
L
2026-08-01 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Megan Fraley
−0.017below expectation — took 25% of games against 38% expected
6-0, 6-4
W
2026-07-31 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Megan Fraley
+0.048better than expected — took 92% of games against 62% expected
6-0, 6-1
W
Cyndie Lempesis / Nichole Shanleychamps
2026-04-18 · #1 Doubles · with Kayla Robins
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-3, 6-4
L
2026-04-17 · #3 Doubles · with Kayla Robins
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
7-6, 6-1
L
COURTNEY LEWIS / Andrea Valentinechamps
2026-04-17 · #1 Doubles · with Kayla Robins
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-3, 3-6, 1-0
L
2026-03-22 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Kayla Robins
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
7-6, 6-4
W
Signe White / Hannah Sonnichsen
2026-03-22 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Heather Rinden
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-2, 6-2
W
Kayla Romane / Alyssa Walsh
2026-03-21 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Kayla Robins
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
7-5, 2-6, 1-0
W
Lisa Lindholm / Kristina Berg
2026-03-20 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Cristeen Valicoff
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-0, 7-5
L
2026-03-20 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Megan Beyer
+0.001below expectation — took 29% of games against 35% expected
6-1, 6-4
What an account addsprivate to you

Signing in lets you point an account at your own record and keep things alongside it: notes on individual matches, your racquet and string setup, restring reminders, friendly matches that never reach TennisLink, and a diary of what you changed and what happened after.

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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.