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Alex Simpson

Portland, OR
4.5C year-end 2025
87 matches · 34W–53L · seasons 20192026
Bump probability
4.04.55.0lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.89
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 13 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
91%
down to 4.0
9%
stay 4.5
0%
up to 5.0
Projected to December: 69% down · 31% stay · 0% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.96. Higher than today’s 3.89 because players this far below their band have historically finished nearer the middle of it.

A 4.5 runs from 4.01 to 4.50. This rating sits in the bottom of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Portland · 4.5
107 of 119
OR · 4.5
200 of 226

Alex is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Teams44 teams · 2003–2026
IRV-Ford
2026 Adult 40 & Over · 4.5 Men
2026
IRV-Ford
2026 Adult 18 & Over · 4.5 Men
2026
IRV-Griffin/Naugler
2026 Mixed 40 & Over · 9.0 Mixed
2026
PTC-Borosky
2025 Adult 40 & Over · 4.5 Men
2025
IRV-Ford
2025 Adult 18 & Over · 4.5 Men
2025
PTC-Gariety/Lux
2024 Adult 18 & Over · 4.0 Men
2024
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Alex has played at 4.5, 4.0 across 7 seasons — 1 move up and 1 down.

3.54.04.52019202020222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 4.5, Alex has gone from the 10th to the 13th percentile of players at that level, 2019 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level4 levels played
4.0
69.2%
18W–8L · 57.9% of games
4.5
20.4%
10W–39L · 36.4% of games
8.0mixed
40%
2W–3L · 47.4% of games
9.0mixed
0W–2L
not enough matches yet

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history87 matches
L
2026-07-12 · IRV-Griffin/Naugler · #2 Doubles · 9.0 · with Deborah Naugler
+0.000about as expected — took 45% of games against 48% expected
4-6, 6-3, 1-0
L
2026-06-27 · IRV-Griffin/Naugler · #3 Doubles · 9.0 · with Christy Strange
+0.000about as expected — took 35% of games against 39% expected
6-2, 7-5
L
Corey Kincaid / Brian Wicklund
2026-05-31 · IRV-Ford · #3 Doubles · 4.5 · with Brian Quisling
0.025below expectation — took 29% of games against 44% expected
6-2, 6-3
L
Tyrese Toomey / Tan Nguyen
2026-05-22 · IRV-Ford · #2 Doubles · 4.5 · with Brent Grubb
0.003below expectation — took 29% of games against 36% expected
6-3, 6-2
L
2026-05-17 · IRV-Ford · #2 Singles · 4.5
0.022below expectation — took 28% of games against 42% expected
6-0, 7-5
L
Shane Adam Young / Michael Laport
2026-04-19 · IRV-Ford · #3 Doubles · 4.5 · with Brian Quisling
0.017below expectation — took 42% of games against 50% expected
7-5, 7-5
L
Kyle Kinderknecht
2026-04-05 · IRV-Ford · #2 Singles · 4.5
0.028below expectation — took 20% of games against 39% expected
6-2, 6-1
W
2026-03-22 · IRV-Ford · #2 Doubles · 4.5 · with Jimmy Shen
+0.030better than expected — took 53% of games against 41% expected
3-6, 6-3, 1-0
W
Adam Billek
2026-03-07 · IRV-Ford · #1 Singles · 4.5
+0.066better than expected — took 59% of games against 34% expected
6-4, 7-5
W
2026-02-22 · IRV-Ford · #2 Doubles · 4.5 · with Jimmy Shen
+0.053better than expected — took 86% of games against 56% expected
6-0, 6-2
L
Christopher Sackmann
2026-02-13 · IRV-Ford · #1 Singles · 4.5
0.017below expectation — took 8% of games against 29% expected
6-1, 6-0
L
2026-01-24 · IRV-Ford · #2 Doubles · 4.5 · with Jimmy Shen
0.013below expectation — took 29% of games against 39% expected
6-2, 6-3
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.