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Cynthia Perelli-Minetti

Tucson, AZ
4.0C year-end 2025
51 matches · 33W–18L · seasons 20192026
Bump probability
3.54.04.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.91
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 23 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 3.5
88%
stay 4.0
12%
up to 4.5
Projected to December: 0% down · 97% stay · 3% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.85. Lower than today’s 3.91 because form regresses — players this far into their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 4.0 runs from 3.51 to 4.00. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Cynthia has been 4.0 for all 3 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the bottom of the band to the top.

3.54.0201920202026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 4.0, Cynthia has gone from the 86th to the 82nd percentile of players at that level, 2019 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level5 levels played
4.0
77.4%
24W–7L · 58.1% of games
4.5
0W–2L
not enough matches yet
8.0
77.8%
7W–2L · 54.8% of games
9.0
0W–2L
not enough matches yet
8.0mixed
1W–2L
not enough matches yet

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history51 matches
W
Tamra Williamson / Kathy Kang
2026-05-22 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Stacy Renner
+0.006about as expected — took 53% of games against 51% expected
7-6, 1-1
W
Lisa Gee-Gray / Jackeline Cuadras
2026-05-14 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Ellen Haebe
+0.002about as expected — took 59% of games against 57% expected
7-5, 6-4
W
Amy Zahorka / Kelly Dishno
2026-05-01 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Stacy Renner
0.004about as expected — took 59% of games against 59% expected
6-3, 7-6
L
Lauren Baker / Amy Millett
2026-04-10 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Stacy Renner
0.018below expectation — took 41% of games against 50% expected
7-6, 6-3
W
Melissa Manas / Kathy Kang
2026-04-03 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Kimber Ciruli
+0.021better than expected — took 68% of games against 56% expected
6-0, 7-6
L
Karen Kiburz / Jackie Crothers
2026-03-21 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Eleanor Lockwood
0.029below expectation — took 25% of games against 42% expected
6-2, 6-2
L
Lauren Baker / Amy Millett
2026-03-06 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Beth Harmon
+0.003about as expected — took 50% of games against 47% expected
3-6, 6-4, 1-0
W
Jackeline Cuadras / Karen Simpson
2026-02-20 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Valerie Smith
+0.027better than expected — took 71% of games against 55% expected
6-4, 6-1
W
Lisa Schilling / Liz Hernandez
2026-02-06 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Stacy Renner
+0.031better than expected — took 75% of games against 57% expected
6-2, 6-2
L
Francesca Brennan / Jackie Crothers
2026-02-04 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Elizabeth Gamez
0.004below expectation — took 33% of games against 39% expected
6-3, 6-3
W
Sharon Steehler / Amy Zahorka
2026-01-30 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Valerie Smith
0.002about as expected — took 57% of games against 57% expected
6-4, 7-6
L
Linda Haycraft / Stacy Renner
2026-01-15 · #1 Doubles · 9.0 · with Maggie Winchell
+0.017better than expected — took 50% of games against 42% expected
5-7, 7-6, 1-0
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.