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Carrie Toppano

Mercer Island, WA
2.5C year-end 2025
149 matches · 61W–88L · seasons 2019–2026
Bump probability
2.02.53.0lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

2.42
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 24 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 2.0
86%
stay 2.5
14%
up to 3.0
Projected to December: 0% down · 97% stay · 3% up, from a year-end estimate of 2.35. Lower than today’s 2.42 because form regresses — players this far into their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 2.5 runs from 2.01 to 2.50. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
WA · 2.5
26 of 35

Carrie is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Carrie has played at 3.0, 2.5 across 8 seasons — 0 moves up and 1 down.

2.02.53.020192020202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 2.5, Carrie has gone from the 62nd to the 36th percentile of players at that level, 2019 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level9 levels played
0.0
50%
2W–2L · 39.4% of games
2.5
56.1%
23W–18L · 51.5% of games
3.0
27.5%
14W–37L · 41% of games
3.5
0W–2L
not enough matches yet
6.0
47.6%
10W–11L · 51.3% of games
7.0
50%
2W–2L · 51.9% of games
0.0mixed
40%
2W–3L · 39.8% of games
5.0mixed
50%
2W–2L · 57.3% of games
6.0mixed
41.7%
5W–7L · 50.5% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history149 matches
L
Jenn Gile / Sara Thiel
2026-06-07 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Karen Hayward
−0.026below expectation — took 8% of games against 31% expected
6-0, 6-1
L
Sherry Yang / Nicole Carrido
2026-05-30 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Bridget Greenberg
+0.034better than expected — took 47% of games against 35% expected
6-3, 3-6, 1-0
L
Alexandra Tibbetts / Letitia Selk
2026-05-24 · #2 Doubles · 2.5 · with Lynne Pogue
+0.014about as expected — took 38% of games against 36% expected
6-2, 7-6
W
Anne Manicone / Marites Mendoza
2026-05-23 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Kathy Tsutsumoto
+0.086better than expected — took 75% of games against 37% expected
6-1, 6-3
L
Ailiu Wu / Joey Wang
2026-05-10 · #2 Doubles · 2.5 · with Stephanie Ottaway
−0.060below expectation — took 25% of games against 55% expected
6-2, 6-2
L
Joia Poort / Kathryn Soligon
2026-04-25 · #1 Doubles · 2.5 · with Stephanie Ottaway
−0.029below expectation — took 45% of games against 57% expected
6-3, 5-7, 1-0
L
Diana Andrei / Jennifer Grimes
2026-04-12 · #1 Doubles · 2.5 · with Stephanie Ottaway
−0.082below expectation — took 20% of games against 60% expected
6-1, 6-2
L
Tara Roberts / Heidi Owen
2026-04-12 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Susan van Meter
+0.014about as expected — took 41% of games against 37% expected
7-6, 6-3
W
Monica Spain / Deirdre Gately
2026-04-04 · #1 Doubles · 2.5 · with Tammy Besel
−0.018about as expected — took 59% of games against 64% expected
6-4, 7-5
W
Laurie Bauder / Helen Chatalaschamps
2026-03-27 · #2 Doubles · with Stephanie Ottaway
+0.016better than expected — took 53% of games against 47% expected
6-2, 2-6, 1-0
L
Asako Endo / Hui Xu
2026-03-14 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Susan van Meter
−0.038below expectation — took 20% of games against 42% expected
6-2, 6-1
L
Mingfei Yan / Wei Zhan
2026-02-21 · #2 Doubles · 2.5 · with Karen Hayward
−0.041below expectation — took 55% of games against 66% expected
1-6, 7-5, 1-0
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