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Tara Roberts

Edmonds, WA
3.0C year-end 2024
52 matches · 20W–32L · seasons 20192026
Bump probability
2.53.03.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

2.59
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 6 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
12%
down to 2.5
88%
stay 3.0
0%
up to 3.5
Projected to December: 8% down · 92% stay · 0% up, from a year-end estimate of 2.61. Higher than today’s 2.59 because players this far below their band have historically finished nearer the middle of it.

A 3.0 runs from 2.51 to 3.00. This rating sits in the bottom of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Edmonds · 3.0
20 of 20
WA · 3.0
935 of 960

Tara is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Tara has been a steady 3.0 across all 8 seasons on record.

2.53.020192020202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history. The smaller, faded points — 2020, 2025 — rest on fewer than 5 matches, where the estimate is mostly the level the player was entered at rather than anything they did on court. Read the shape, not the value.

How you rank at your level
At 3.0, Tara has gone from the 39th to the 18th percentile of players at that level, 2019 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level1 levels played
3.0
38.5%
20W–32L · 47.2% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history52 matches
L
Ying Yan / Kari Brown
2026-05-10 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Christina Nelson
0.015below expectation — took 41% of games against 48% expected
3-6, 6-1, 1-0
L
Gina Jones / Jing Long
2026-04-19 · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with Barty Nicholson
0.023below expectation — took 14% of games against 34% expected
6-2, 6-0
L
Zishan Fu / Yuyu Huang
2026-04-18 · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with Barty Nicholson
+0.009below expectation — took 20% of games against 27% expected
6-3, 6-0
W
Carrie Toppano / Susan van Meter
2026-04-12 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Heidi Owen
0.010about as expected — took 59% of games against 61% expected
7-6, 6-3
W
2026-02-21 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Sarah Chandler
+0.036better than expected — took 57% of games against 41% expected
6-4, 7-6
L
Dawn Spratley / Michelle Warren
2026-02-01 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Sarah Chandler
0.012about as expected — took 48% of games against 52% expected
4-6, 6-4, 1-0
W
Belinda Buscher / Rhenda Meiser
2025-03-30 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Barty Nicholson
+0.058better than expected — took 75% of games against 46% expected
6-3, 6-1
W
Dawn Spratley / Shannon Pflugrath
2024-05-05 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Sarah Chandler
+0.014better than expected — took 56% of games against 50% expected
7-6, 7-5
L
Teresa Martinez / Kathy Olson
2024-04-27 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Elizabeth Perenchio
0.002about as expected — took 38% of games against 41% expected
6-2, 7-6
L
Tiffany Chau / Justine Lin
2024-04-14 · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with Darla Donnelly
0.014below expectation — took 40% of games against 47% expected
6-1, 5-7, 1-0
L
Yuriko Rosnow / Haley Neff-LaFord
2024-03-30 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Elizabeth Perenchio
0.029below expectation — took 41% of games against 54% expected
6-4, 7-5
L
Jolene Parisio / Laurel Robinson
2024-03-09 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Christina Nelson
0.017below expectation — took 41% of games against 49% expected
7-5, 6-4
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.