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Pamela Nelson

Bothell, WA
2.5C year-end 2025
64 matches · 14W–50L · seasons 20192026
Bump probability
2.02.53.0lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

2.44
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 4 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 2.0
78%
stay 2.5
22%
up to 3.0
Projected to December: 0% down · 95% stay · 5% up, from a year-end estimate of 2.37. Lower than today’s 2.44 because form regresses — players this far into their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 2.5 runs from 2.01 to 2.50. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
WA · 2.5
53 of 81

Pamela is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Pamela has played at 3.0, 2.5 across 8 seasons — 0 moves up and 1 down.

2.02.53.020192020202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history. The smaller, faded points — 2026 — rest on fewer than 5 matches, where the estimate is mostly the level the player was entered at rather than anything they did on court. Read the shape, not the value.

How you rank at your level
At 3.0, Pamela has gone from the 2nd to the 3rd percentile of players at that level, 2019 to 2023.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level4 levels played
2.5
60%
6W–4L · 54.1% of games
3.0
22.2%
6W–21L · 30.2% of games
6.0
4.2%
1W–23L · 26.5% of games
3.0mixed
1W–1L
not enough matches yet

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history64 matches
L
Laurie Bauder / Michelle Warrenchamps
2026-06-20 · #1 Doubles · with Michelle Dea
0.038below expectation — took 14% of games against 39% expected
6-0, 6-2
W
Lakshmi Rajesh / Sabrina Albert
2026-06-05 · #2 Doubles · 2.5 · with Jenjira Hellers
0.023below expectation — took 55% of games against 63% expected
6-3, 5-7, 1-0
W
N/A
2026-05-10 · #1 Doubles · 2.5 · with Michelle Dea
+0.163better than expected — took 100% of games against 30% expected
6-0, 6-0
L
Mei Lau / Rosa Franklin
2026-03-28 · #2 Doubles · 2.5 · with Stacy Harrison
0.028below expectation — took 32% of games against 46% expected
6-1, 7-5
L
Victoria Chen / Karen Ng
2025-05-18 · #1 Doubles · 2.5 · with Dana Day
+0.009about as expected — took 40% of games against 38% expected
6-4, 6-4
W
Usha Rao / YUN LIU
2025-04-18 · #2 Doubles · 2.5 · with Nancy Otterholt
+0.048better than expected — took 52% of games against 35% expected
6-4, 5-7, 1-0
L
KAYOKO SHIBUE / Saadia Pekkanen
2025-04-13 · #1 Doubles · 2.5 · with Nancy Otterholt
0.005below expectation — took 29% of games against 37% expected
6-3, 6-2
L
Sara Thiel / Michael Engmixed
2024-10-10 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Ariel Chay
+0.000about as expected — took 29% of games against 27% expected
6-2, 6-3
W
Kim Watkins / Markus Mielkemixed
2024-09-22 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Seif Talat
+0.000better than expected — took 54% of games against 39% expected
7-5, 6-7, 1-0
W
2024-07-31 · #1 Doubles · 2.5 · with Meghan Bradner
0.013about as expected — took 63% of games against 65% expected
6-4, 6-3
W
Mousumi Sanyal / YUN LIU
2024-07-13 · #1 Doubles · 2.5 · with Meghan Bradner
+0.060better than expected — took 80% of games against 48% expected
6-1, 6-2
W
Melissa Davis / Molly Meltsner
2024-05-19 · #2 Doubles · 2.5 · with Julia Roast
+0.018better than expected — took 58% of games against 50% expected
4-6, 6-2, 1-0
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.