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Matt Dunbar

Seattle, WA
3.0C year-end 2024
108 matches · 48W–60L · seasons 20192026
Bump probability
2.53.03.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

2.95
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 15 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 2.5
72%
stay 3.0
28%
up to 3.5
Projected to December: 0% down · 93% stay · 7% up, from a year-end estimate of 2.88. Lower than today’s 2.95 because form regresses — players this far into their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.0 runs from 2.51 to 3.00. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Seattle · 3.0
75 of 144
WA · 3.0
331 of 755

Matt is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Matt has played at 3.5, 3.0 across 7 seasons — 0 moves up and 1 down.

2.53.03.52019202020222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history. The smaller, faded points — 2025 — rest on fewer than 5 matches, where the estimate is mostly the level the player was entered at rather than anything they did on court. Read the shape, not the value.

How you rank at your level
At 3.0, Matt has gone from the 79th to the 28th percentile of players at that level, 2019 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level4 levels played
3.0
67.6%
25W–12L · 57.6% of games
3.5
28.6%
10W–25L · 44.6% of games
6.0mixed
40%
6W–9L · 48.7% of games
7.0mixed
21.4%
3W–11L · 39.8% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history108 matches
L
Huy Ngo / Timothy Lam
2026-05-17 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Jonathan Brown
0.023below expectation — took 38% of games against 50% expected
6-2, 7-6
L
Min Joon So / Jin Chen
2026-05-15 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Dustin Taylor
0.030below expectation — took 44% of games against 56% expected
7-6, 7-5
W
Robert Richard / Chris Steck
2026-04-26 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with John Busby
+0.034better than expected — took 63% of games against 47% expected
6-4, 6-3
L
Axel Andrews - (DQ)* / Thomas Walker
2026-04-19 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Jules Fennis
0.038below expectation — took 29% of games against 49% expected
6-2, 6-3
L
2026-04-18 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Bill Do
0.016below expectation — took 20% of games against 35% expected
6-2, 6-1
W
Phat Dinh / Chen Hsu
2026-03-29 · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with Jules Fennis
0.005about as expected — took 52% of games against 55% expected
6-4, 4-6, 1-0
W
James Hornsby / Jianqing Zhao
2026-03-08 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with John Busby
+0.047better than expected — took 71% of games against 47% expected
6-1, 6-4
L
Thomas Lendvay / Brad Struss
2026-03-07 · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with Tom Meyer
0.041below expectation — took 38% of games against 56% expected
3-6, 6-0, 1-0
W
David Benson / Ken Duffie
2026-02-08 · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with Steve Pignotti
+0.001better than expected — took 71% of games against 65% expected
6-2, 6-3
W
James Lyons / Michael Robon
2026-02-07 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with John Busby
+0.025better than expected — took 57% of games against 46% expected
6-3, 6-7, 1-0
W
Peter Tang / Ian Warner
2026-01-24 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Steve Pignotti
+0.012about as expected — took 52% of games against 48% expected
7-5, 4-6, 1-0
L
2026-01-17 · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with Alex Biller
+0.001about as expected — took 55% of games against 52% expected
7-6, 2-6, 1-0
What an account addsprivate to you

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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.