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Rafael Lozada

Libertyville, IL
4.0C year-end 2025
101 matches · 71W–30L · seasons 2019–2026
Bump probability
3.54.04.5lowhigh
Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely.
i
The dashed lines are the edges of your band. The three shaded areas are exactly the three percentages below — area here is the chance of one outcome for you, not a count of players.
3.60
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 42 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
11%
down to 3.5
89%
stay 4.0
0%
up to 4.5
Projected to December: 8% down · 92% stay · 0% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.61. Higher than today’s 3.60 because players this far below their band have historically finished nearer the middle of it.

A 4.0 runs from 3.51 to 4.00. This rating sits in the bottom of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure.
i
scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model. USTA publishes year-end ratings in December, which is when this gets graded against what actually happened.
Where you rank
IL · 4.0
136 of 211
By our estimated rating, not the published level.
i
Rafael is ranked against players at the same level in the same place. The published level is identical for everyone in a band, so it cannot separate them — our estimate can. Groups smaller than five are not ranked at all, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Rafael has played at 4.0, 3.5 across 4 seasons — 1 move up and 1 down.

3.03.54.02019202020212026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.5, Rafael has gone from the 88th to the 94th percentile of players at that level, 2019 to 2021.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level9 levels played
3.5
85.7%
18W–3L · 64.4% of games
4.0
62.5%
10W–6L · 56.5% of games
4.5
25%
1W–3L · 46% of games
7.5
0W–1L
not enough matches yet
8.0
83.3%
5W–1L · 60.2% of games
7.0mixed
69.2%
18W–8L · 56.5% of games
7.5mixed
2W–1L
not enough matches yet
8.0mixed
82.4%
14W–3L · 60.3% of games
8.5mixed
1W–1L
not enough matches yet

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history101 matches
W
N/Amixed
2026-07-29 · #3 Doubles · 8.0 · with Kim Kuwabara
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
6-0, 6-0
W
N/A
2026-07-20 · #1 Doubles · 8.0 · with Jay Freedman
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-0, 6-0
L
Michelle Yeh / Manik Dewan
2026-07-18 · #3 Doubles · 7.5 · with Patty Lynch
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
7-5, 6-3
W
Yukiko Juretic / Daiki Fujiwaramixed
2026-06-28 · #3 Doubles · 8.0 · with Claudia Ma
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
6-1, 7-6
L
David Maxson / Hunter Wiggins
2026-06-15 · #2 Doubles · 8.0 · with Charlie Turri
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-4, 4-6, 1-0
L
Sho Mizokawa / Saburo Koshizawa
2026-04-25 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Marco Deutsch
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-3, 7-6
W
2026-04-24 · #3 Doubles · 7.5 · with Jennifer Grady
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
6-3, 6-2
W
Tom Buerger / Sara Desaimixed
2026-04-19 · #1 Doubles · 8.0 · with Claudia Ma
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
5-7, 6-5
W
Donna Matkovic / Thomas Batkamixed
2026-04-18 · #2 Doubles · 8.5 · with Marialin Lomongo
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
6-3, 7-5
W
N/A
2026-04-18 · #2 Doubles · 4.5 · with Luiz Pedrosa
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-0, 6-0
W
N/A
2026-04-16 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Carlos Flores
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-0, 6-0
L
Lubos Vegh / Scott Thornton
2026-04-11 · #3 Doubles · 4.5 · with Mark Hansen
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-3, 6-1
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